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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Global Markets Maintain Cautious Stance Amidst Mixed Signals on August 9, 2023

 

Global Markets Maintain Cautious Stance Amidst Mixed Signals on August 9, 2023

On August 9, 2023, the global financial markets displayed a mixed and cautious sentiment. Stock indices in Asia started the day on a tentative note, with investors closely monitoring geopolitical developments and potential regulatory changes impacting various sectors.


 
European markets showed a slightly more optimistic trend, bolstered by positive earnings reports from key companies. In the United States, early trading indicated a moderate uptick, with tech giants driving gains while concerns over inflation and interest rate shifts lingered. 


Cryptocurrency markets experienced notable volatility, as regulatory discussions continued worldwide. Overall, market participants exhibited a watchful attitude as they awaited further economic indicators and policy updates to navigate the intricate balance between recovery optimism and prevailing uncertainties.






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