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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Canada’s Economy Shows Signs of Growth in August After Flat July



According to Statistics Canada, the Canadian economy experienced stagnation in July, with a zero percent growth rate. The service sector expanded slightly, while goods-producing industries shrank. Economists had anticipated a slight expansion of about 0.1 percent. However, the manufacturing sector contracted by 1.5 percent, marking its largest decline in over two years.

In August, the Canadian economy showed signs of growth. Real gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 1.2 percent, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth following the steepest drops on record in March and April due to pandemic lockdowns. Although August’s figure was lower than July’s 3.1 percent expansion, it still indicates a positive trend in economic recovery.

Please note that these figures are subject to change as new data becomes available.

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