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Bank of Canada Rate Decision: What to Expect on June 10

  On Wednesday, June 10, 2026 , the Bank of Canada will announce its next interest rate decision — and every Canadian with a mortgage, a savings account, or a variable-rate line of credit has good reason to pay attention. While a hold at the current 2.25% overnight rate is almost universally expected, the real story this month isn't the number itself. It's the language surrounding it. Canada's economy has slipped into what many are calling a technical recession, inflation is being pushed higher by a global energy shock, and economists are divided on where rates go from here. Here's everything you need to know before Wednesday's announcement. BoC Overnight Rate 2.25% Held since early 2026 Bank Prime Rate 4.45% Most major lenders April CPI Inflation 2.8% Up from 2.4% in March Hike Probability (Jun 10) ~4% Per bond markets Q1 2026 GDP Growth −0.1% Annualized; near-recession Where Things Stand: A Tricky Balancing Act The Bank of Canada has held its overnight rate at 2....

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Canada’s Economy Shows Signs of Growth in August After Flat July



According to Statistics Canada, the Canadian economy experienced stagnation in July, with a zero percent growth rate. The service sector expanded slightly, while goods-producing industries shrank. Economists had anticipated a slight expansion of about 0.1 percent. However, the manufacturing sector contracted by 1.5 percent, marking its largest decline in over two years.

In August, the Canadian economy showed signs of growth. Real gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 1.2 percent, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth following the steepest drops on record in March and April due to pandemic lockdowns. Although August’s figure was lower than July’s 3.1 percent expansion, it still indicates a positive trend in economic recovery.

Please note that these figures are subject to change as new data becomes available.

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