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BoC Holds at 2.25%: What the Rate Decision (and Rising Gas Prices) Mean for Your Wallet

  Thursday, July 16, 2026 Sixth consecutive hold. A weaker 2026 growth forecast. And inflation that's running hotter because of gas prices, not the usual suspects. Here's what actually changes for you. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25% on Wednesday, exactly as markets expected. No surprise there. What's more interesting is why it held, and what it revealed about where the economy — and your bills — are headed next. This was the sixth straight hold since the Bank finished its easing cycle back in October. But buried in the accompanying Monetary Policy Report were a few numbers worth your attention. The Numbers That Matter Overnight Rate 2.25% (unchanged) Prime Rate (typical) 4.45% 2026 GDP Growth Forecast 0.7% (cut from 1.2%) 2027 / 2028 Growth Forecast 1.8% each year May CPI Inflation 3.2% Inflation Excluding Gasoline 2.2% Unemployment Rate (June) 6.5% Next Rate Decision September 2, 2026 Why Gas Prices Are Driving This Decision Here's the twist in th...
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Canada’s Economy Shows Signs of Growth in August After Flat July



According to Statistics Canada, the Canadian economy experienced stagnation in July, with a zero percent growth rate. The service sector expanded slightly, while goods-producing industries shrank. Economists had anticipated a slight expansion of about 0.1 percent. However, the manufacturing sector contracted by 1.5 percent, marking its largest decline in over two years.

In August, the Canadian economy showed signs of growth. Real gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 1.2 percent, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth following the steepest drops on record in March and April due to pandemic lockdowns. Although August’s figure was lower than July’s 3.1 percent expansion, it still indicates a positive trend in economic recovery.

Please note that these figures are subject to change as new data becomes available.

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