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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Canada’s Economy Shows Signs of Growth in August After Flat July



According to Statistics Canada, the Canadian economy experienced stagnation in July, with a zero percent growth rate. The service sector expanded slightly, while goods-producing industries shrank. Economists had anticipated a slight expansion of about 0.1 percent. However, the manufacturing sector contracted by 1.5 percent, marking its largest decline in over two years.

In August, the Canadian economy showed signs of growth. Real gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 1.2 percent, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth following the steepest drops on record in March and April due to pandemic lockdowns. Although August’s figure was lower than July’s 3.1 percent expansion, it still indicates a positive trend in economic recovery.

Please note that these figures are subject to change as new data becomes available.

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