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CMHC Just Cut Its Housing Forecast — What It Means If You're Buying, Selling, or Renewing

  Published July 28, 2026 Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation quietly downgraded its outlook for the rest of 2026 last week, and the new numbers are worth a look no matter which side of the housing market you're standing on. The federal housing agency's Summer 2026 update now calls for slower growth, softer home prices, fewer new builds and continued easing in rental markets right through the end of the year — with a split that leaves Ontario and B.C. looking a lot different from the Prairies and Quebec. Here's what's actually in the update, and what it means for your specific situation. What CMHC changed The agency's baseline call for 2026 is a Canadian economy growing at just 0.7%, with high borrowing costs, weak population growth and cautious buyers keeping a lid on demand even as affordability has technically improved. The practical result, nationally: Housing starts are expected to fall to about 241,400 units this year, down from 259,028 in 2025 Resale acti...
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Canada’s Economy Shows Signs of Growth in August After Flat July



According to Statistics Canada, the Canadian economy experienced stagnation in July, with a zero percent growth rate. The service sector expanded slightly, while goods-producing industries shrank. Economists had anticipated a slight expansion of about 0.1 percent. However, the manufacturing sector contracted by 1.5 percent, marking its largest decline in over two years.

In August, the Canadian economy showed signs of growth. Real gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 1.2 percent, marking the fourth consecutive month of growth following the steepest drops on record in March and April due to pandemic lockdowns. Although August’s figure was lower than July’s 3.1 percent expansion, it still indicates a positive trend in economic recovery.

Please note that these figures are subject to change as new data becomes available.

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