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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...

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Healthy meals: Curry Chicken

                     

  

Ingredients:

  • 1¼ pounds boneless, skinless chicken breasts, cut into ¼-inch strips
  • Salt and freshly ground black pepper
  • 2½ teaspoons curry powder, divided
  • 3 tablespoons vegetable oil, divided
  • 1 medium yellow onion, finely chopped
  • 4 garlic cloves, minced
  • 1 tablespoon grated fresh ginger (see note)
  • 2 cups low-sodium chicken broth, best quality such as Swanson
  • 1 tablespoon cornstarch
  • 2 teaspoons sugar
  • 1 cup frozen peas (no need to thaw)
  • ¼ cup plain low fat (2%) or whole Greek yogurt (do not use nonfat)
  • ¼ cup chopped fresh cilantro

Instructions

  1. 1.  Sprinkle the chicken evenly with ¾ teaspoon salt, ¼ teaspoon pepper and 1 teaspoon curry powder.
  2. 2.  Heat 1½ tablespoons of oil in a 12-inch skillet over high heat until just smoking. Add the chicken in a single layer and cook, stirring occasionally, until lightly browned but still pink in spots, about 3 minutes. Transfer the partially cooked chicken to a clean bowl and set aside.
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  4. 3.  Add the remaining 1½ tablespoons oil to the skillet and set heat to medium. Add the onions and cook, stirring occasionally, until softened, about 5 minutes. Stir in the garlic, ginger and remaining 1½ teaspoons curry powder and cook until fragrant, about a minute more.
  5. 4.  Whisk the chicken broth and cornstarch together to dissolve the cornstarch, then add to the skillet along with the sugar and ⅛ teaspoon salt. Bring to a boil, then reduce the heat to medium and cook until the sauce is nicely thickened, about 5 minutes.
  6. 5.  Add the peas and partially cooked chicken to the skillet, turn the heat down to low and simmer until the chicken is cooked through, a few minutes. Off the heat, stir in the yogurt and cilantro; then season with salt and pepper, to taste. Serve with basmati rice.

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