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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Canada’s inflation rate drops to 3.1% in October

 


According to Statistics Canada, the annual rate of inflation in Canada held steady at 6.9% in October amid dropping pressure on grocery prices. October’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading matches that of September. Economists had been expecting the CPI to accelerate last month as gas prices rose in October. However, prices at the pump were 9.2% higher in October than the month previous, putting blame on a weaker Canadian dollar and cuts in production from OPEC.

The headline rate eased in late 2022 as gasoline prices fell, but key sources of inflationary pressure, including food and shelter, showed little signs of moderating . However, the inflation rate cooled down to 3.1% in October 2023, as gas prices dropped . This is a positive sign for the economy as it indicates that the Bank of Canada’s efforts to ease price pressures are working.

Title: Canada’s Inflation Rate Cools Down to 3.1% in October 2023 as Gas Prices Drop

In conclusion, the inflation rate in Canada has been a cause of concern for the government and the public alike. The recent drop in gas prices has brought some relief to the economy, but the government needs to continue its efforts to bring the inflation rate down to a more manageable level.

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