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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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How Enbridge, Open Text and other stocks moved on Wednesday


The stock market saw some notable movements on Wednesday, as several companies reported their earnings or made strategic announcements. Here are some of the highlights:

  • Enbridge (ENB-T) rose 1.2 per cent after it forecast higher core earnings and raised its dividend for 2024. The pipeline operator expects higher demand and volumes across its network, as well as lower costs and capital spending. The company also said it had secured funding for over 75 per cent of its US$9.4-billion bid to buy three utilities from Dominion Energy.
  • Open Text (OTEX-T) increased 1 per cent after it sold off a mainframe-computer business it acquired earlier this year from Micro Focus for US$2.275-billion. The company said it would use the proceeds to improve its financial position and focus on its cloud and artificial intelligence businesses. Analysts said the divestiture would enhance Open Text’s valuation and profitability.
  • Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD-T) slid 3.2 per cent despite reporting stronger-than-expected second-quarter results The convenience store and gas station operator saw solid fuel margins and cost control, but also faced softening in U.S. same-store sales due to lower cigarette sales and consumer spending. The company tightened its full-year profit outlook.
  • First Quantum Minerals (FM-T) sustained further declines after Panama’s president said its copper mine Cobre Panama would be shut down, following a Supreme Court ruling that declared its contract unconstitutional The company said it had suspended commercial production at the mine and was putting it into care and maintenance. The ruling puts the company on the long and unpredictable road of international arbitration.

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