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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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The Holiday Job Market Blues: A Seasonal Slump

 

The holiday season is upon us, but the job market is not as jolly as it used to be. According to a report by Indeed, Canadian postings for seasonal holiday jobs are down 30% from last year, amid a softening economy and cooling labour market1. The slowdown in holiday job openings is likely related to industry-specific trends like e-commerce and remote work.

This year’s holiday job market is hitting the skids, and it’s not looking good for job seekers. With fewer job openings, it’s becoming increasingly difficult to find seasonal work. However, job seekers are still searching for holiday work, which suggests that it may be easier for employers to find seasonal work this year.

In light of these developments, it’s important to stay positive and keep your options open. Consider exploring alternative job opportunities that align with your interests and skills. You never know, you might find something that you enjoy more than seasonal work.


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