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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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The Holiday Job Market Blues: A Seasonal Slump

 

The holiday season is upon us, but the job market is not as jolly as it used to be. According to a report by Indeed, Canadian postings for seasonal holiday jobs are down 30% from last year, amid a softening economy and cooling labour market1. The slowdown in holiday job openings is likely related to industry-specific trends like e-commerce and remote work.

This year’s holiday job market is hitting the skids, and it’s not looking good for job seekers. With fewer job openings, it’s becoming increasingly difficult to find seasonal work. However, job seekers are still searching for holiday work, which suggests that it may be easier for employers to find seasonal work this year.

In light of these developments, it’s important to stay positive and keep your options open. Consider exploring alternative job opportunities that align with your interests and skills. You never know, you might find something that you enjoy more than seasonal work.


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