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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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The Holiday Job Market Blues: A Seasonal Slump

 

The holiday season is upon us, but the job market is not as jolly as it used to be. According to a report by Indeed, Canadian postings for seasonal holiday jobs are down 30% from last year, amid a softening economy and cooling labour market1. The slowdown in holiday job openings is likely related to industry-specific trends like e-commerce and remote work.

This year’s holiday job market is hitting the skids, and it’s not looking good for job seekers. With fewer job openings, it’s becoming increasingly difficult to find seasonal work. However, job seekers are still searching for holiday work, which suggests that it may be easier for employers to find seasonal work this year.

In light of these developments, it’s important to stay positive and keep your options open. Consider exploring alternative job opportunities that align with your interests and skills. You never know, you might find something that you enjoy more than seasonal work.


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