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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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The Holiday Job Market Blues: A Seasonal Slump

 

The holiday season is upon us, but the job market is not as jolly as it used to be. According to a report by Indeed, Canadian postings for seasonal holiday jobs are down 30% from last year, amid a softening economy and cooling labour market1. The slowdown in holiday job openings is likely related to industry-specific trends like e-commerce and remote work.

This year’s holiday job market is hitting the skids, and it’s not looking good for job seekers. With fewer job openings, it’s becoming increasingly difficult to find seasonal work. However, job seekers are still searching for holiday work, which suggests that it may be easier for employers to find seasonal work this year.

In light of these developments, it’s important to stay positive and keep your options open. Consider exploring alternative job opportunities that align with your interests and skills. You never know, you might find something that you enjoy more than seasonal work.


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