Skip to main content

Featured

Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
Post a Comment
Read more

article

Labels

Global Markets Surge on Fed Rate Cut Signals


Markets around the world are experiencing a significant upswing as the Federal Reserve signals potential rate cuts in the coming year. This optimistic outlook has sparked a rally across both stock and bond markets, with Asia joining the upward trend.

Key Highlights:

  • Stock Market Rally: A global stock index has risen for six consecutive sessions, with notable gains in Australian and South Korean shares. The S&P 500 reached its highest point in nearly two years, and Apple Inc’s shares hit a new high.
  • Federal Reserve’s Dovish Stance: The Fed maintained current rates but hinted at a 75 basis point reduction in 2024 through its “dot plot,” a more aggressive cut than previously suggested.
  • Bond Market Gains: Following the Fed’s announcement, US Treasuries saw a rise, with 10-year yields dropping below 4% for the first time since August. Swap contracts indicate expectations of 140 basis points of easing within the next year.
  • Inflation Trends: Recent reports show a slowdown in producer-price increases and a decrease in the annual inflation rate, aligning with the Fed’s target.

This broad “risk-on” rally is anticipated to continue, with experts like Kellie Wood from Schroders Plc predicting robust market performance. The dovish signs from the Fed have indeed delivered an early Christmas gift to investors, setting a positive tone for market activities.

Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment