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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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How inflation affects your taxes in 2024



If you are a Canadian taxpayer, you may want to know how inflation will impact your taxes in 2024. The Canada Revenue Agency has announced that most income tax and benefit amounts will be indexed to inflation using a 4.7 per cent rate, which is higher than the previous years. This means that the tax brackets, the basic personal amount, and some tax credits will increase to reflect the rising cost of living. Here are some of the key changes you need to know:

  • Tax brackets: The federal income tax brackets for 2024 have been adjusted to account for inflation. The new thresholds are: $55,867 for the 15 per cent bracket, $111,733 for the 20.5 per cent bracket, $173,205 for the 26 per cent bracket, $246,752 for the 29 per cent bracket, and above that for the 33 per cent bracket. The provincial tax brackets have also been indexed to inflation, but using different rates depending on the province.
  • Basic personal amount: The basic personal amount (BPA) is the amount of income you can earn without paying any federal tax. The BPA for 2024 is $15,705, which is higher than the 2023 amount of $15,000. However, the BPA is gradually reduced for taxpayers with net income above $173,205, until it reaches $14,156 for net income of $246,752 or more. The BPA is worth 15 per cent of its value as a non-refundable tax credit.
  • Non-refundable tax credits: Some non-refundable tax credits, such as the age amount, the spouse or common-law partner amount, and the eligible dependant amount, have also been increased for 2024 to reflect inflation. These credits are calculated by multiplying the amount by 15 per cent, the lowest federal tax rate. For example, the age amount for 2024 is $8,421, which means you can claim a credit of $1,263 if you are 65 or older.
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