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5 Things to Know Today — September 25, 2026

  Friday, September 25, 2026  |  moneysavings.ca/canadian-money-brief Bond yields are nearing levels not seen in nearly two decades, Iran is offering a Hormuz truce, Ottawa just posted a fresh deficit, the loonie slid to 70.74 cents, and Canadian consumers pulled back in July. Here's what each story means for your money. 01 — Interest Rates Bond Yields Hit 5.10% — and Your Mortgage Is Watching The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to approximately 5.10% overnight — a level last seen in 2007 — while the 30-year surged to around 5.43%, its highest since 2004. The spike was triggered by a combination of stronger-than-expected U.S. PMI data, hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials in New York and Philadelphia, and a weak Treasury auction. Canada's own 10-year bond yield has been tracking close behind, already at multi-year highs. Why does a U.S. number matter here? Canadian fixed mortgage rates are largely priced off the Government of Canada 5-year bond yield, which...
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U.S. stocks open mixed and turn lower after inflation report as Fed decision looms


  • Inflation data: The U.S. cost of living increased 0.1% month over month and 3.1% year over year in November, slightly higher than expected. Core inflation was in line with estimates at 0.3% month over month and 2.3% year over year.
  • Market reaction: U.S. stocks opened mixed and turned lower after the inflation report, as investors weighed the implications for interest rates and the Fed’s policy outlook. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.43%, the S&P 500 slid 0.39%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.2% on Tuesday.
  • Fed decision: The Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, with no change expected in the current range of 5.25% to 5.50%. The Fed is also expected to provide an update on its balance sheet reduction plan and its economic projections for 2024 and beyond.
  • Market outlook: The S&P 500 index is near its record high, having gained 20.4% year to date, partly on hopes of slowing inflation and rate cuts in the future. However, some analysts warn that the inflation trend is still above the Fed’s 2% target and that the central bank may have to tighten monetary policy more than expected to keep inflation under control.
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