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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Wall Street Aims for Gains to Close 2023 in Subdued Holiday Trading

Wall Street is aiming for gains to close out 2023 in subdued holiday trading. Futures for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average each edged less than 0.1% lower before the bell, but markets so far are holding on to gains for the week with little in the way of new economic data or corporate earnings. On Tuesday the S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 4,774.75, finishing less than 0.5% below its all-time high set nearly two years ago. The benchmark index is coming off eight straight weekly gains, its longest winning streak since 2017.

Investors should keep in mind that the stock market is volatile and can be unpredictable. It is important to do your research and invest wisely. If you are new to investing, it is recommended that you seek the advice of a financial advisor.


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