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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Wall Street Aims for Gains to Close 2023 in Subdued Holiday Trading

Wall Street is aiming for gains to close out 2023 in subdued holiday trading. Futures for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average each edged less than 0.1% lower before the bell, but markets so far are holding on to gains for the week with little in the way of new economic data or corporate earnings. On Tuesday the S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 4,774.75, finishing less than 0.5% below its all-time high set nearly two years ago. The benchmark index is coming off eight straight weekly gains, its longest winning streak since 2017.

Investors should keep in mind that the stock market is volatile and can be unpredictable. It is important to do your research and invest wisely. If you are new to investing, it is recommended that you seek the advice of a financial advisor.


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