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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...

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Wall Street Inches Higher, US Steel Gets $14 Billion Buyout Offer from Nippon

 

Wall Street opened higher on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.2% and the S&P 500 up 0.1% in early trading. The Nasdaq Composite was up 0.1%. Investors are watching the Bank of Japan’s two-day meeting for hints of a change to the central bank’s longstanding near-zero interest rate policy. 

Meanwhile, US Steel has received a $14 billion buyout offer from Nippon Steel, which would make it the largest acquisition in the steel industry’s history. The deal is expected to close in the first quarter of 2024.


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