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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Wall Street Inches Higher, US Steel Gets $14 Billion Buyout Offer from Nippon

 

Wall Street opened higher on Monday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.2% and the S&P 500 up 0.1% in early trading. The Nasdaq Composite was up 0.1%. Investors are watching the Bank of Japan’s two-day meeting for hints of a change to the central bank’s longstanding near-zero interest rate policy. 

Meanwhile, US Steel has received a $14 billion buyout offer from Nippon Steel, which would make it the largest acquisition in the steel industry’s history. The deal is expected to close in the first quarter of 2024.


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