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Fed Poised for Rate Cut, Signals Limited Easing Ahead

                                                          US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates at its upcoming meeting, marking a shift in monetary policy aimed at supporting economic growth amid cooling inflation and slowing demand. While markets have anticipated a series of reductions, policymakers appear cautious, with signals suggesting only one additional cut may be on the horizon for next year. This measured approach reflects the Fed’s balancing act: easing financial conditions to sustain momentum while avoiding overstimulation that could reignite price pressures. Investors are closely watching the central bank’s language for clues on the trajectory of borrowing costs, as households and businesses continue to navigate a delicate economic environment....

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Megacaps Rally as Investors Await Inflation Data and Major Bank Earnings


The stock market has been on a roller coaster ride lately, with investors keeping a close eye on inflation data and major bank earnings. On Wednesday, the market saw a boost as megacaps rallied, with Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Nvidia leading the charge. The S&P 500 index gained 0.57%, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.75% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.45%.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield held near 4%, and a $37 billion auction of the notes drew above-average demand. Communication services was the best performing of the 11 major S&P sectors, lifted by a roughly 4% rise in Meta Platforms’ stock to the highest level since September 2021, after Mizuho raised its price target to $470 from $400. Nvidia hit a record high after fellow chipmaker TSMC beat fourth-quarter revenue expectations.

After ending 2023 with a strong rally, stocks have struggled to find upward momentum, with the S&P 500 barely positive on the year, as mixed economic data and comments from Federal Reserve officials have led investors to dial back expectations for the timing and size of any rate cuts from the central bank this year.

The market is reassessing its 2024 expectations in terms of earnings and interest rates, and really looking to justify the surge in prices that we saw in November and December. It’s sort of a good sign that the market is treading water early in the year because it implies that investors really don’t want to miss out on anything else that could be good.


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