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Weekly Market Snapshot: Yields at Multi-Decade Highs, Oil Eases on Hormuz Hopes — Week of Sept. 22–26, 2026

Week of September 22–26, 2026 It was a week of two forces tugging in opposite directions. Bond yields surged to levels not seen since 2004–2007, driven by resilient US economic data, hawkish Fed signals, and oil-driven inflation fears — putting pressure on equities and the Canadian dollar. Then, late in the week, reports emerged that US and Iranian negotiators were exploring a phased deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Oil pulled back sharply Friday, yields stabilized, and markets found enough relief to post a partial recovery. The TSX finished the week slightly lower but well off its worst levels, while US indices managed a weekly gain. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite entered the week near 35,800 and, after a volatile ride, closed Friday around the same level — giving up roughly 0.3% on the week. Mid-week selling was driven by the same forces pressuring global markets: surging US Treasury yields, a rising oil-inflation premium, and investor nervousness ahea...

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Megacaps Rally as Investors Await Inflation Data and Major Bank Earnings


The stock market has been on a roller coaster ride lately, with investors keeping a close eye on inflation data and major bank earnings. On Wednesday, the market saw a boost as megacaps rallied, with Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Nvidia leading the charge. The S&P 500 index gained 0.57%, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.75% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.45%.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield held near 4%, and a $37 billion auction of the notes drew above-average demand. Communication services was the best performing of the 11 major S&P sectors, lifted by a roughly 4% rise in Meta Platforms’ stock to the highest level since September 2021, after Mizuho raised its price target to $470 from $400. Nvidia hit a record high after fellow chipmaker TSMC beat fourth-quarter revenue expectations.

After ending 2023 with a strong rally, stocks have struggled to find upward momentum, with the S&P 500 barely positive on the year, as mixed economic data and comments from Federal Reserve officials have led investors to dial back expectations for the timing and size of any rate cuts from the central bank this year.

The market is reassessing its 2024 expectations in terms of earnings and interest rates, and really looking to justify the surge in prices that we saw in November and December. It’s sort of a good sign that the market is treading water early in the year because it implies that investors really don’t want to miss out on anything else that could be good.


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