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Mortgage Renewal Shock 2026: What Canadian Homeowners Need to Know

  The Reality: Over 60% of Canadian mortgages are renewing in 2025 and 2026—many at rates significantly higher than their original terms. While some homeowners will see relief, others face payment increases of 15–40%. This guide will help you understand what's happening, run the numbers, and explore your options before your renewal date arrives. The Big Picture: What's Happening in 2026 Canada is experiencing a historic wave of mortgage renewals. A large cohort of mortgages originated during the pandemic's historic low-rate period—when rates hovered around 2% or lower in 2020–2021—are now maturing and resetting at today's rates. The Bank of Canada staff estimate that roughly 60% of outstanding mortgages will renew in 2025 and 2026, making this the most significant renewal cycle in decades. In 2026, the average mortgage renewal increase is projected to moderate to around 6%, though individual experiences vary dramatically depending on mortgage type and renewal timing. W...
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Megacaps Rally as Investors Await Inflation Data and Major Bank Earnings


The stock market has been on a roller coaster ride lately, with investors keeping a close eye on inflation data and major bank earnings. On Wednesday, the market saw a boost as megacaps rallied, with Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Nvidia leading the charge. The S&P 500 index gained 0.57%, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.75% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.45%.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield held near 4%, and a $37 billion auction of the notes drew above-average demand. Communication services was the best performing of the 11 major S&P sectors, lifted by a roughly 4% rise in Meta Platforms’ stock to the highest level since September 2021, after Mizuho raised its price target to $470 from $400. Nvidia hit a record high after fellow chipmaker TSMC beat fourth-quarter revenue expectations.

After ending 2023 with a strong rally, stocks have struggled to find upward momentum, with the S&P 500 barely positive on the year, as mixed economic data and comments from Federal Reserve officials have led investors to dial back expectations for the timing and size of any rate cuts from the central bank this year.

The market is reassessing its 2024 expectations in terms of earnings and interest rates, and really looking to justify the surge in prices that we saw in November and December. It’s sort of a good sign that the market is treading water early in the year because it implies that investors really don’t want to miss out on anything else that could be good.


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