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June Jobs Report: What It Means for the Bank of Canada's July 15 Decision

  Friday, July 10, 2026 Statistics Canada releases its June Labour Force Survey today, and the timing couldn't matter more. This is the last major economic data point before the Bank of Canada's next interest rate decision on July 15, 2026 — and whichever way the jobs numbers break, they'll shape what happens to borrowing costs for the rest of the summer. What Economists Are Expecting Consensus forecasts point to a modest but positive jobs report. Economists expect Canada added around 10,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 6.6%. That would follow a much stronger May, when the economy added 88,000 jobs and the unemployment rate actually fell by 0.3 percentage points. In other words, June's report is expected to show a cooling-off after May's surprise strength — not a reversal, but a return to a more modest pace of hiring. Indicator May 2026 June 2026 (Forecast) Net Employment Change +88,000 jobs +10,000 jobs (expected) Unemployment Rate 6....
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Megacaps Rally as Investors Await Inflation Data and Major Bank Earnings


The stock market has been on a roller coaster ride lately, with investors keeping a close eye on inflation data and major bank earnings. On Wednesday, the market saw a boost as megacaps rallied, with Microsoft, Meta Platforms, and Nvidia leading the charge. The S&P 500 index gained 0.57%, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.75% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.45%.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield held near 4%, and a $37 billion auction of the notes drew above-average demand. Communication services was the best performing of the 11 major S&P sectors, lifted by a roughly 4% rise in Meta Platforms’ stock to the highest level since September 2021, after Mizuho raised its price target to $470 from $400. Nvidia hit a record high after fellow chipmaker TSMC beat fourth-quarter revenue expectations.

After ending 2023 with a strong rally, stocks have struggled to find upward momentum, with the S&P 500 barely positive on the year, as mixed economic data and comments from Federal Reserve officials have led investors to dial back expectations for the timing and size of any rate cuts from the central bank this year.

The market is reassessing its 2024 expectations in terms of earnings and interest rates, and really looking to justify the surge in prices that we saw in November and December. It’s sort of a good sign that the market is treading water early in the year because it implies that investors really don’t want to miss out on anything else that could be good.


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