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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Wall Street Closes 12th Winning Week in Last 13 Despite Mixed Finish

 

Wall Street closed its 12th winning week in the last 13 despite a mixed finish on Friday. The S&P 500 finished nearly unchanged for the day, down 0.36, or less than 0.1%, at 4,719.19. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2% to 36,329.84, while the Nasdaq composite fell 0.5% to 15,965.50. The mixed finish came after a week of strong earnings reports from major companies, including Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet. The reports helped push the S&P 500 to a new record high earlier in the week. However, concerns about inflation and rising interest rates weighed on the market, leading to a mixed finish on Friday.

Despite the mixed finish, the stock market has been on an upward trend, with Wall Street closing its 12th winning week in the last 13. The strong earnings reports from major companies have helped boost investor confidence, leading to a surge in the S&P 500 index. However, concerns about inflation and rising interest rates have also been on the rise, leading to a mixed finish on Friday.

Overall, the stock market has been performing well, with investors optimistic about the future. While there are concerns about inflation and rising interest rates, the strong earnings reports from major companies have helped boost investor confidence. As we move forward, it will be interesting to see how the stock market performs in the coming weeks and months.

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