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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Lynx Air Ceases Operations and Seeks Creditor Protection

Calgary-based Lynx Air, a low-cost airline that took flight less than two years ago, is facing turbulent skies. The company recently announced its decision to cease operations on Monday. This move comes as Lynx Air grapples with a series of challenges, including rising operating costs, high fuel prices, exchange rate fluctuations, and mounting airport charges. Despite substantial growth in the business and ongoing efforts to improve operations, the company’s financial headwinds have become insurmountable.

In a bid to weather the storm, Lynx Air has sought and obtained an initial order for creditor protection from the Court of King’s Bench of Alberta. This legal maneuver aims to shield the airline from further financial strain and provide a breathing space for restructuring.

The airline’s final flights are scheduled for Sunday, with operations set to cease at 12:01 a.m. MT on Monday. Passengers currently in transit are urged to explore alternative arrangements to reach their destinations. Lynx Air advises passengers with existing bookings to contact their credit card companies for refunds related to pre-booked travel.

As the sun sets on Lynx Air’s brief journey, travelers find themselves scrambling for alternatives. One passenger expressed her frustration after receiving an email notifying her that her Saturday flight had been canceled. She and her group of friends, originally slated to fly home to Winnipeg, now face uncertainty. The airline’s sudden closure has left them “frantic.”

Legal advisors from Osler, Hoskin & Harcourt LLP are assisting Lynx Air during this challenging time, while FTI Consulting Canada Inc. serves as the monitor under the Companies’ Creditors Arrangement Act.



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