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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Stock Market Update: Record Highs Driven by Nvidia’s Earnings Surge

 

The stock market witnessed a whirlwind week, fueled by the remarkable performance of AI chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA). As the week drew to a close, both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average achieved fresh record highs.

  • S&P 500: The broad market index inched higher, closing at 5,088.80, surpassing the 5,100 mark for the first time.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: The Dow added 62.42 points, reaching an all-time high of 39,131.53.
  • Nasdaq Composite: Although the Nasdaq Composite retreated slightly, closing down 0.3%, it had already notched a fresh 52-week high earlier in the session.

Nvidia’s blowout earnings sent shockwaves through the market, adding approximately $277 billion to the company’s market value. This surge marked the largest single-day gain in Wall Street history. The chipmaker’s shares continued their ascent, bringing the company tantalizingly close to a $2 trillion valuation.

Amidst the AI frenzy, investors are also contemplating the possibility of a US interest rate cut. Federal Reserve officials have hinted at impending cuts, although the timing remains uncertain.

As the solid fourth-quarter earnings season winds down, several companies have impressed Wall Street:

  • Block (SQ): An upbeat earnings forecast from Square led to a 16% jump in the fintech company’s shares.
  • Carvana (CVNA): Investors welcomed the used-car seller’s first annual profit, resulting in a 30% surge in Carvana’s stock.

In summary, Wall Street’s record-breaking week was driven by Nvidia’s stellar performance, and investors are keeping a close eye on interest rate developments. As the market continues to evolve, stay tuned for further updates.


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