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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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Wall Street Nervously Awaits Key Inflation Data

 

Wall Street is treading cautiously today as investors eagerly anticipate the latest inflation report. The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance on monetary policy has kept the market on edge, and this data release could provide crucial insights.

What’s Happening?

  • Modest Losses: Futures for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average are down by 0.3% ahead of the opening bell. Despite this, Wall Street remains on track for a positive February, even after a somewhat challenging week.

  • Inflation Focus: The Commerce Department is set to release its report on consumer spending, which includes a closely watched measure of inflation. The Federal Reserve has recently paused its interest rate hikes after raising rates to a 22-year high. The central bank’s primary goal is to manage inflation, and any surprises in today’s data could impact their next moves.

  • Analyst Expectations: Economists predict that year-over-year inflation ticked down in January to 2.3%, compared to December’s 2.6%. The Fed’s target is 2%, so any deviation from this level will be closely scrutinized.

  • Corporate Highlights: Processed food maker Hormel surprised the market by beating profit targets, leading to a nearly 5% premarket jump. However, cloud-computing company Snowflake faced a different fate, plummeting over 22% after announcing the immediate retirement of CEO Frank Slootman. Sridhar Ramaswamy will take the reins.

  • Global Markets: In Europe, Germany’s DAX and Britain’s FTSE 100 are showing resilience, each adding 0.4%. Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 index closed 0.1% lower, with factory output declining at the fastest pace since May 2020.

Investors are keeping a close eye on inflation data, hoping for clarity on the Fed’s next steps. As the market navigates uncertainty, it remains to be seen how Wall Street will react to the numbers. Stay tuned for further updates!


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