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5 Things to Know Today — September 22, 2026

  September 22, 2026 BoC hike odds reach a coin flip. Oil retreats from four-month highs. Trump's Belarus potash play draws fire. A new federal bill speeds up major projects — with strings attached. Here's what moves your money today. 1. BoC October Hike Is Now a Coin Flip The Bank of Canada next meets October 28 , and markets are evenly split on whether it will raise rates for the first time since cutting to 2.25%. The whiplash is largely imported: after the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked 25 basis points to 3.75–4.00% on September 16 in a unanimous 12-0 vote — the first American rate increase since July 2023 — market-implied odds of a matching BoC move jumped from below 10% to roughly 60% in two weeks, according to LSEG Data & Analytics. Before the BoC's September 2 hold, odds of a hold sat at 94%. The 175-basis-point gap between the BoC (2.25%) and the Fed (3.75–4.00%) is the widest since 2022, which puts direct downward pressure on the loonie and upward pressure on Ca...
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Blinken Embarks to Middle East for Sixth Gaza Diplomacy Push


 U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken returns to the Middle East on Wednesday for his sixth visit since the start of Israel’s war with Hamas. His mission is to facilitate discussions for a temporary ceasefire and the release of hostages held by Hamas.

Blinken will meet Saudi leaders in Jeddah and Egyptian leaders in Cairo to discuss talks brokered by Egypt and Qatar on an agreement, as well as efforts to get more aid into Gaza. The ongoing negotiations aim to alleviate the humanitarian crisis gripping Gaza. Additionally, Blinken will engage in conversations about arrangements for governance, security, and redevelopment in post-conflict Gaza.

The war was triggered when Hamas fighters crossed into Israel on a rampage, resulting in the loss of 1,200 lives and the capture of 253 hostages according to Israeli tallies. In response, Israel launched a retaliatory onslaught, resulting in the confirmed death of nearly 32,000 people in Hamas-run Gaza, with thousands more feared lost under the rubble.

Despite multiple visits to the U.S. ally on his previous regional swings, Blinken is not scheduled to visit Israel on this trip. Tensions have escalated between U.S. President Joe Biden’s administration and the government of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who recently rebuffed Biden’s plea to call off a planned ground assault in the southern Gaza city of Rafah, where more than a million displaced Palestinians are sheltering.

Blinken’s diplomatic efforts continue as the international community closely watches the situation unfold in the region.

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