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Evacuation in the Snow: Fears of Conflict Drive Mass Exodus from Pakistan’s Tirah Valley

Residents from Tirah valley, who fled a remote mountainous region bordering Afghanistan, gather to get themself registered, in Bara, Khyber District of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, Pakistan A wave of displacement is sweeping through northwest Pakistan as thousands of families flee the Tirah Valley after mosque loudspeakers warned residents of possible upcoming military action. The sudden announcements triggered a rapid and chaotic departure, with many families leaving in the middle of harsh winter conditions. Residents describe a tense atmosphere in the valley, where fears of renewed conflict between security forces and militant groups have been simmering for months. Entire communities have packed their belongings onto trucks, donkeys, and makeshift carts, heading toward safer towns such as Bara and Peshawar. Government officials insist that no military operation has been ordered and attribute the movement of people to seasonal migration patterns. Locals strongly dispute this, sayi...
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C$ Climbs to 6-Day High on Fed Rate Cut Forecast

 


In a positive turn of events, the Canadian dollar (C$) has strengthened to a six-day high against its U.S. counterpart. Investors are celebrating the Federal Reserve’s decision to stick with its interest rate-cutting forecast for 2024.

Here are the key points:

  • The loonie (as the Canadian dollar is affectionately known) is trading 0.5% higher at 1.35 to the U.S. dollar, or 74.07 U.S. cents. It touched its strongest intraday level since last Thursday at 1.3491.
  • The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, but policymakers indicated they still expect to reduce rates by three 25-basis-point cuts by the end of 2024. This is despite slower-than-expected progress toward the U.S. central bank’s 2% inflation target.
  • Wall Street rallied, U.S. Treasury yields fell, and the U.S. dollar lost ground against a basket of major currencies.
  • The Bank of Canada also expects to ease rates this year, as revealed in the minutes from the central bank’s policy meeting earlier this month. However, policymakers remain divided over when there will be enough evidence that conditions are right for cuts.
  • The decline in the price of oil, one of Canada’s major exports, had little impact on the loonie. U.S. crude oil futures settled 2.1% lower at $81.68 a barrel, giving back some recent gains.
  • Canadian government yields fell across the curve, tracking moves in U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year yield was down 3.2 basis points at 3.492%, extending its pullback from the highest intraday level in one month at 3.624% on Tuesday.

In summary, the Canadian dollar’s ascent reflects optimism about the Fed’s commitment to rate cuts, while the Bank of Canada keeps a close eye on economic conditions. 


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