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Geopolitical Tensions Rattle Wall Street as Futures Slide on Trump’s Iran Warning

  Markets tumbled Thursday morning as renewed geopolitical uncertainty sent U.S. stock futures sharply lower, with investors reacting to President Trump’s latest remarks that the war with Iran is “not yet over.”   U.S. stock futures stumbled early Thursday after President Trump’s national address failed to signal a clear end to the ongoing U.S.–Israeli conflict with Iran. Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped more than 600 points , while S&P 500 futures fell 1.5% and Nasdaq 100 futures slid 2% , reflecting heightened investor anxiety.  The market’s reaction was driven largely by Trump’s assertion that the conflict is not yet resolved, despite reports that Iran’s president has approached the U.S. about a potential ceasefire. Trump emphasized that any agreement would depend on reopening the Strait of Hormuz , a critical global energy chokepoint. He also warned that U.S. forces would “hit Iran hard” before any withdrawal in the coming weeks.  ...
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C$ Climbs to 6-Day High on Fed Rate Cut Forecast

 


In a positive turn of events, the Canadian dollar (C$) has strengthened to a six-day high against its U.S. counterpart. Investors are celebrating the Federal Reserve’s decision to stick with its interest rate-cutting forecast for 2024.

Here are the key points:

  • The loonie (as the Canadian dollar is affectionately known) is trading 0.5% higher at 1.35 to the U.S. dollar, or 74.07 U.S. cents. It touched its strongest intraday level since last Thursday at 1.3491.
  • The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, but policymakers indicated they still expect to reduce rates by three 25-basis-point cuts by the end of 2024. This is despite slower-than-expected progress toward the U.S. central bank’s 2% inflation target.
  • Wall Street rallied, U.S. Treasury yields fell, and the U.S. dollar lost ground against a basket of major currencies.
  • The Bank of Canada also expects to ease rates this year, as revealed in the minutes from the central bank’s policy meeting earlier this month. However, policymakers remain divided over when there will be enough evidence that conditions are right for cuts.
  • The decline in the price of oil, one of Canada’s major exports, had little impact on the loonie. U.S. crude oil futures settled 2.1% lower at $81.68 a barrel, giving back some recent gains.
  • Canadian government yields fell across the curve, tracking moves in U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year yield was down 3.2 basis points at 3.492%, extending its pullback from the highest intraday level in one month at 3.624% on Tuesday.

In summary, the Canadian dollar’s ascent reflects optimism about the Fed’s commitment to rate cuts, while the Bank of Canada keeps a close eye on economic conditions. 


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