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Washington Scales Back Regional Footprint Amid Iranian Warnings

Empty airspace over Iran, during a temporary closure of the country's airspace amid concerns about possible military action between the United States and Iran The United States has begun precautionary drawdowns at several military bases across the Middle East after Iranian officials warned neighbouring countries that American facilities could be targeted in the event of a wider conflict. The adjustments focus on relocating non‑essential personnel and reducing exposure as regional tensions continue to rise. Iran’s message to nearby states underscored its concern that any U.S. military action could spill over into the broader region. By cautioning its neighbours, Tehran signaled both its desire to deter potential strikes and its readiness to respond if provoked. U.S. officials described the moves as prudent rather than predictive, emphasizing that the drawdowns do not indicate an imminent operation. Instead, they reflect a shifting security environment in which Washington is recal...
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C$ Climbs to 6-Day High on Fed Rate Cut Forecast

 


In a positive turn of events, the Canadian dollar (C$) has strengthened to a six-day high against its U.S. counterpart. Investors are celebrating the Federal Reserve’s decision to stick with its interest rate-cutting forecast for 2024.

Here are the key points:

  • The loonie (as the Canadian dollar is affectionately known) is trading 0.5% higher at 1.35 to the U.S. dollar, or 74.07 U.S. cents. It touched its strongest intraday level since last Thursday at 1.3491.
  • The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, but policymakers indicated they still expect to reduce rates by three 25-basis-point cuts by the end of 2024. This is despite slower-than-expected progress toward the U.S. central bank’s 2% inflation target.
  • Wall Street rallied, U.S. Treasury yields fell, and the U.S. dollar lost ground against a basket of major currencies.
  • The Bank of Canada also expects to ease rates this year, as revealed in the minutes from the central bank’s policy meeting earlier this month. However, policymakers remain divided over when there will be enough evidence that conditions are right for cuts.
  • The decline in the price of oil, one of Canada’s major exports, had little impact on the loonie. U.S. crude oil futures settled 2.1% lower at $81.68 a barrel, giving back some recent gains.
  • Canadian government yields fell across the curve, tracking moves in U.S. Treasuries. The 10-year yield was down 3.2 basis points at 3.492%, extending its pullback from the highest intraday level in one month at 3.624% on Tuesday.

In summary, the Canadian dollar’s ascent reflects optimism about the Fed’s commitment to rate cuts, while the Bank of Canada keeps a close eye on economic conditions. 


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