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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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S&P/TSX Composite Hits New Highs: Canadian and U.S. Markets Rally



On March 21, 2024, the S&P/TSX composite index achieved a remarkable milestone, closing atnew all-time high. Simultaneously, U.S. markets continued their upward trajectory, setting records of their own.

Key Highlights:

  1. Canadian Market Surge:

    • The S&P/TSX composite index gained 41.55 points, reaching 22,087.26. This surpasses its previous record of 22,087.22 set in March 2022.
    • Tech and financial stocks played a pivotal role in driving this surge, reflecting investor confidence in these sectors.

  2. U.S. Market Momentum:

    • Across the border, U.S. markets also soared:
      • The Dow Jones industrial average climbed 306.46 points, closing at 39,818.59.
      • The S&P 500 index rose by 30.20 points, reaching 5,254.82.
      • The Nasdaq composite surged 97.44 points, closing at 16,466.85.

  3. Commodity Prices:

    • The Canadian dollar traded at 73.93 cents US, slightly higher than the previous day.
    • Crude oil experienced a dip, with the May contract down 91 cents at US$80.36 per barrel.
    • Natural gas also declined, with the May contract down four cents at US$1.81 per mmBTU.
    • Gold bucked the trend, rising by US$17.40 to US$2,178.40 per ounce.
    • Copper remained stable, down just a penny at US$4.05 per pound.

In summary, both Canadian and U.S. markets are riding high, fueled by optimism and robust economic indicators. Investors are closely monitoring developments as we navigate these record-breaking times.

Disclaimer: The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

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