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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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S&P/TSX Composite Hits New Highs: Canadian and U.S. Markets Rally



On March 21, 2024, the S&P/TSX composite index achieved a remarkable milestone, closing atnew all-time high. Simultaneously, U.S. markets continued their upward trajectory, setting records of their own.

Key Highlights:

  1. Canadian Market Surge:

    • The S&P/TSX composite index gained 41.55 points, reaching 22,087.26. This surpasses its previous record of 22,087.22 set in March 2022.
    • Tech and financial stocks played a pivotal role in driving this surge, reflecting investor confidence in these sectors.

  2. U.S. Market Momentum:

    • Across the border, U.S. markets also soared:
      • The Dow Jones industrial average climbed 306.46 points, closing at 39,818.59.
      • The S&P 500 index rose by 30.20 points, reaching 5,254.82.
      • The Nasdaq composite surged 97.44 points, closing at 16,466.85.

  3. Commodity Prices:

    • The Canadian dollar traded at 73.93 cents US, slightly higher than the previous day.
    • Crude oil experienced a dip, with the May contract down 91 cents at US$80.36 per barrel.
    • Natural gas also declined, with the May contract down four cents at US$1.81 per mmBTU.
    • Gold bucked the trend, rising by US$17.40 to US$2,178.40 per ounce.
    • Copper remained stable, down just a penny at US$4.05 per pound.

In summary, both Canadian and U.S. markets are riding high, fueled by optimism and robust economic indicators. Investors are closely monitoring developments as we navigate these record-breaking times.

Disclaimer: The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult with a qualified professional before making investment decisions.

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