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Bank of Canada Rate Decision Countdown: What to Expect on July 15

  Published July 4, 2026 In eleven days, the Bank of Canada will make its fifth interest rate call of 2026. If you've got a mortgage renewing, a variable rate that moves with the Bank's decisions, or savings sitting in a high-interest account, this is the date to have circled. Here's where things stand heading into July 15, and what the smart money is expecting. Where the rate sits right now The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.25% since its last two decisions, with the Bank Rate at 2.50% and the deposit rate at 2.20%. The July 15 announcement, released at 9:45 a.m. ET, will also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, since the Bank publishes its detailed economic projections quarterly alongside the January, April, July, and October decisions. Why most economists expect another hold The case for standing pat comes down to two forces pulling in opposite directions: Inflation is running hot, but mostly for one reason. Canada's headline inflation rate jumped...
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Stock Market Update: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures Rise After CPI Surprise

 

Investors are closely monitoring the stock market today as S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures show upward momentum following a surprising inflation report. Here are the key highlights:

  1. CPI Surprise: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February revealed a 3.2% year-over-year increase in consumer prices, indicating elevated inflation. This data is crucial for the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision.

  2. Boeing Issues Impact Southwest: Southwest Airlines (LUV) announced capacity cuts due to ongoing problems with Boeing’s (BA) 737 Max planes. Investors are closely watching how this development affects the airline industry.

  3. Oracle’s Strong Earnings: Tech giant Oracle (ORCL) reported better-than-expected fiscal third-quarter earnings. Additionally, Oracle teased an upcoming announcement with chipmaker NVIDIA (NVDA), driving its stock price higher.

  4. Market Expectations: The CPI release influences market expectations regarding the timing of a potential Federal Reserve interest-rate cut. The “core” CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose by 0.4% in February and 3.1% year-on-year, surpassing estimates.

  5. Bitcoin Continues Rally: Bitcoin (BTC-USD) reached a record high of $72,120, driven by surging inflows into crypto assets. Some predict bitcoin could reach as high as $350,000 this year.

  6. Corporate Developments: Oracle’s cloud computing progress and collaboration with NVIDIA are boosting investor confidence.


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