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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Stock Market Update: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures Rise After CPI Surprise

 

Investors are closely monitoring the stock market today as S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures show upward momentum following a surprising inflation report. Here are the key highlights:

  1. CPI Surprise: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February revealed a 3.2% year-over-year increase in consumer prices, indicating elevated inflation. This data is crucial for the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision.

  2. Boeing Issues Impact Southwest: Southwest Airlines (LUV) announced capacity cuts due to ongoing problems with Boeing’s (BA) 737 Max planes. Investors are closely watching how this development affects the airline industry.

  3. Oracle’s Strong Earnings: Tech giant Oracle (ORCL) reported better-than-expected fiscal third-quarter earnings. Additionally, Oracle teased an upcoming announcement with chipmaker NVIDIA (NVDA), driving its stock price higher.

  4. Market Expectations: The CPI release influences market expectations regarding the timing of a potential Federal Reserve interest-rate cut. The “core” CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose by 0.4% in February and 3.1% year-on-year, surpassing estimates.

  5. Bitcoin Continues Rally: Bitcoin (BTC-USD) reached a record high of $72,120, driven by surging inflows into crypto assets. Some predict bitcoin could reach as high as $350,000 this year.

  6. Corporate Developments: Oracle’s cloud computing progress and collaboration with NVIDIA are boosting investor confidence.


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