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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Donald Trump Set for Another $1.25 Billion Truth Social Windfall


Donald Trump is on the cusp of a major financial bonus – at least on paper – as long as the share price of Trump Media & Technology Group doesn’t spectacularly fall by the end of trading today. Trump is set to receive another 36 million shares as the owner of his social media site, Truth Social, worth around $1.25 billion at Monday’s price. The former president is entitled to these “earnout shares” as long as the trading price of Trump Media & Technology Group, the parent company of Truth Social, does not fall below $17.50. Currently, it is trading for around double that price.

Trump already holds 78.75 million shares in Trump Media & Technology Group, making him the majority shareholder. The additional 36 million shares would be on top of that, bringing his total stake in Trump Media to more than $4 billion on paper when the earnout shares are included. However, there’s a catch: any shares he owns are subject to a lock-up period that prohibits him from selling them within the next six months.

Despite being embroiled in the ongoing hush money criminal trial, Trump’s financial fortunes continue to rise. He has faced hefty monetary judgments against him this year, including over $500 million ordered by two separate New York judges in different court cases. Yet, with more than $200 million in the bank and zero debt, Trump Media remains committed to its business plan.

The earnout shares are obtained based on specific benchmarks being met over 20 consecutive trading days within a 30-trading-day period. As today marks the 20th day, it’s unlikely that the DJT ticker will fall below the benchmark by the end of the day. Trump Media has the authority to issue a total of 40 million earnout shares as part of the merger deals that combined the company with a publicly traded shell corporation, Digital World Acquisition Corp. Since the merger, the company has been publicly trading under the DJT ticker, opening at around $70 per share on March 26.

In summary, Donald Trump’s already sizable stake in Truth Social is set to jump by more than $1 billion, thanks to these additional shares. While the financial landscape remains complex, Trump’s fortunes continue to be closely watched by investors and the public alike.


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