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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...

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Dow Tumbles Amidst Rising Yields and Global Unrest

 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average faced a significant downturn as geopolitical tensions and a sharp increase in Treasury yields rattled investors. The spike in yields came on the heels of unexpectedly robust retail sales data, which suggested that the Federal Reserve might delay anticipated interest rate cuts. This development has cast a shadow over the recent strong earnings reported by major banks like Goldman Sachs.

The market’s reaction was swift, with the Dow falling 248 points, or 0.7%, while the S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite also saw declines of 1.2% and 1.8%, respectively. The rise in Treasury yields, particularly the 10-Year Treasury jumping 11 basis points to 4.61%, indicates a shift in investor sentiment towards caution amidst economic growth and potential policy shifts.

As the global financial community monitors the unfolding events, the impact of these tensions and economic indicators will continue to play a critical role in shaping market dynamics in the days ahead.

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