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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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Dow Tumbles Amidst Rising Yields and Global Unrest

 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average faced a significant downturn as geopolitical tensions and a sharp increase in Treasury yields rattled investors. The spike in yields came on the heels of unexpectedly robust retail sales data, which suggested that the Federal Reserve might delay anticipated interest rate cuts. This development has cast a shadow over the recent strong earnings reported by major banks like Goldman Sachs.

The market’s reaction was swift, with the Dow falling 248 points, or 0.7%, while the S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite also saw declines of 1.2% and 1.8%, respectively. The rise in Treasury yields, particularly the 10-Year Treasury jumping 11 basis points to 4.61%, indicates a shift in investor sentiment towards caution amidst economic growth and potential policy shifts.

As the global financial community monitors the unfolding events, the impact of these tensions and economic indicators will continue to play a critical role in shaping market dynamics in the days ahead.

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