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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Escalating Tensions: Israel’s Direct Strike Warning to Iran


Amidst rising tensions in the Middle East, Israel has issued a stark warning to Iran, threatening direct military action if Tehran were to launch an attack from its own soil. This development follows the recent killings of Iranian generals at their consulate in Syria, an event that has significantly heightened the long-standing animosity between the two nations.

Israel’s Foreign Minister, in a statement released Wednesday, made it clear that any aggression from Iran would be met with a swift response. "If Iran attacks from its territory, Israel will respond and attack in Iran,” he declared, signaling a potential shift towards more direct confrontation.

The Iranian Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has vowed retaliation against Israel for the consulate attack, which he equated to an assault on Iranian territory. "The evil regime must be punished, and it will be punished,” he affirmed during a sermon marking the end of Ramadan.

The international community watches with concern as both nations refrain from detailing their potential strategies, leaving the world to ponder the implications of such a conflict. As the situation unfolds, the hope for de-escalation remains, but the path forward is fraught with uncertainty.

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