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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Hamas Rejects Israel’s Ceasefire Response, Sticks to Main Demands



The Palestinian Islamist group Hamas has firmly rejected an Israeli ceasefire proposal. In a statement issued on Saturday, Hamas conveyed its response to the proposal to mediators in Egypt and Qatar. The group remains steadfast in its core demands, which include:
  1. Permanent Ceasefire: Hamas insists on a lasting cessation of hostilities.
  2. Israeli Troop Withdrawal: The complete withdrawal of Israeli forces from the entire Gaza Strip.
  3. Return of Displaced Palestinians: Ensuring the safe return of displaced Palestinians to their original areas and places of residence.
  4. Humanitarian Aid and Reconstruction: Intensifying the entry of relief and aid and commencing the much-needed reconstruction efforts.

Hamas’s readiness to engage in a prisoners-for-hostages swap deal with Israel, involving the release of 133 hostages, underscores the gravity of the situation. However, Israel has already dismissed some of these demands as delusional.

As tensions persist, the region remains on edge, awaiting further developments in this protracted conflict. The stakes are high, and the delicate balance between peace and continued strife hangs in the balance.

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