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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...

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S&P/TSX Composite Index Declines Over 100 Points: A Market Recap

 


Canada’s main stock index faced a significant decline on Tuesday, with losses in financial, industrial, and telecom stocks outweighing strength in energy and base metals. Simultaneously, U.S. stock markets also experienced a downturn.

Key Points:

  • S&P/TSX Composite Index: The Canadian benchmark index closed down 110.15 points at 22,075.10.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA): In New York, the DJIA was down 396.61 points at 39,170.24.
  • S&P 500 Index: The broader S&P 500 index declined 37.96 points to 5,205.81.
  • Nasdaq Composite: The Nasdaq composite dropped 156.38 points to 16,240.45.

Currency and Commodities:

  • Canadian Dollar: Traded at 73.68 cents US, compared to 73.67 cents US on Monday.
  • Crude Oil: The May crude oil contract rose by US$1.44, reaching US$85.15 per barrel.
  • Natural Gas: The May natural gas contract increased by three cents, reaching US$1.86 per mmBTU.
  • Gold: The June gold contract surged by US$24.70, reaching US$2,281.80 per ounce.
  • Copper: The May copper contract gained two cents, reaching US$4.07 per pound.

This report by The Canadian Press provides a snapshot of the market conditions on April 2, 2024. Investors should closely monitor developments as market dynamics continue to evolve.

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