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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Stock Market Futures Rise Following Strong Jobs Report

 


In a positive turn of events, US stock futures have nudged higher after the release of a robust jobs report. Here are the key highlights:

  1. March Job Growth: Employers added 303,000 jobs, surpassing economists’ expectations. This impressive growth signals continued strength in the US labor market.

  2. Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate ticked back down to 3.8%, reflecting a healthy employment landscape.

  3. Wage Growth: Wage growth also met expectations, providing further evidence of economic resilience.

Despite recent market volatility driven by surging oil prices and geopolitical tensions, investors are cautiously optimistic. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose by approximately 0.2%, while S&P 500 futures gained 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 futures were up by 0.4%.

However, uncertainties persist, with investors closely monitoring economic releases, corporate news, and global events. Oil prices remain near six-month highs due to escalating tensions in the Middle East.

As the market navigates these challenges, the strong jobs report offers a glimmer of hope for investors. It’s a reminder that economic fundamentals continue to play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment.

Stay tuned for further developments as the trading day unfolds. 

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