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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Stock Market Futures Rise Following Strong Jobs Report

 


In a positive turn of events, US stock futures have nudged higher after the release of a robust jobs report. Here are the key highlights:

  1. March Job Growth: Employers added 303,000 jobs, surpassing economists’ expectations. This impressive growth signals continued strength in the US labor market.

  2. Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate ticked back down to 3.8%, reflecting a healthy employment landscape.

  3. Wage Growth: Wage growth also met expectations, providing further evidence of economic resilience.

Despite recent market volatility driven by surging oil prices and geopolitical tensions, investors are cautiously optimistic. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures rose by approximately 0.2%, while S&P 500 futures gained 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 futures were up by 0.4%.

However, uncertainties persist, with investors closely monitoring economic releases, corporate news, and global events. Oil prices remain near six-month highs due to escalating tensions in the Middle East.

As the market navigates these challenges, the strong jobs report offers a glimmer of hope for investors. It’s a reminder that economic fundamentals continue to play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment.

Stay tuned for further developments as the trading day unfolds. 

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