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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Stock Market Today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Surge as Tesla Leads Earnings Rally

 

In today’s stock market, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite made significant gains, fueled by a fresh wave of earnings reports. Here are the highlights:

  1. S&P 500 Rebounds: The benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose more than 1% after staging a comeback from a six-day run of losses in the previous session. Investors are optimistic about tech-focused companies’ earnings, which could help pull stocks out of the slump they’ve faced since the start of the year.

  2. Tesla’s Impact: Tesla (TSLA), often referred to as one of the “Magnificent Seven,” is in the spotlight. The electric vehicle (EV) maker’s earnings report is highly anticipated, given its weight in the S&P 500 index. Tesla’s shares have faced headwinds due to a disappointing delivery outlook, the cancellation of plans for a sub-$30,000 model, and a shift in strategy toward robotaxis. As the first major tech company to report this week, Tesla’s results set the stage for other giants like Meta (formerly Facebook), Microsoft, and Alphabet.

  3. Other Earnings: Legacy automaker General Motors (GM) kicked off earnings season with strong first-quarter results and an upward revision to its full-year guidance. GM’s shares rose around 5%. Meanwhile, Spotify (SPOT) stock jumped after the audio streaming company swung to a profit, beating expectations.

  4. Market Bottom? Fundstrat’s head of research, Tom Lee, suggests that US stocks may be near a market bottom. Elevated inflation expectations and hedge fund short interest surging to 2022 levels are among the signs. Lee points to technical levels for the S&P 500 to watch: 5019.02 (a positive sign if surpassed) and 4953.56 (a potential setup for a buy signal).

Overall, today’s market performance reflects optimism driven by earnings reports and the anticipation of tech giants’ results. Keep an eye on Tesla and other major players as they continue to shape market sentiment.


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