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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...

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Stock Market Today: S&P 500 and Nasdaq Surge as Tesla Leads Earnings Rally

 

In today’s stock market, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite made significant gains, fueled by a fresh wave of earnings reports. Here are the highlights:

  1. S&P 500 Rebounds: The benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose more than 1% after staging a comeback from a six-day run of losses in the previous session. Investors are optimistic about tech-focused companies’ earnings, which could help pull stocks out of the slump they’ve faced since the start of the year.

  2. Tesla’s Impact: Tesla (TSLA), often referred to as one of the “Magnificent Seven,” is in the spotlight. The electric vehicle (EV) maker’s earnings report is highly anticipated, given its weight in the S&P 500 index. Tesla’s shares have faced headwinds due to a disappointing delivery outlook, the cancellation of plans for a sub-$30,000 model, and a shift in strategy toward robotaxis. As the first major tech company to report this week, Tesla’s results set the stage for other giants like Meta (formerly Facebook), Microsoft, and Alphabet.

  3. Other Earnings: Legacy automaker General Motors (GM) kicked off earnings season with strong first-quarter results and an upward revision to its full-year guidance. GM’s shares rose around 5%. Meanwhile, Spotify (SPOT) stock jumped after the audio streaming company swung to a profit, beating expectations.

  4. Market Bottom? Fundstrat’s head of research, Tom Lee, suggests that US stocks may be near a market bottom. Elevated inflation expectations and hedge fund short interest surging to 2022 levels are among the signs. Lee points to technical levels for the S&P 500 to watch: 5019.02 (a positive sign if surpassed) and 4953.56 (a potential setup for a buy signal).

Overall, today’s market performance reflects optimism driven by earnings reports and the anticipation of tech giants’ results. Keep an eye on Tesla and other major players as they continue to shape market sentiment.


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