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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Stock Market Today: A Snapshot of Market Trends



The stock market is a dynamic arena, influenced by a myriad of factors ranging from economic data to geopolitical events. As of today, let’s delve into the current state of affairs in the financial world.

Market Overview

  • U.S. Stocks: Despite recent fluctuations, U.S. stocks continue to hold their ground. The S&P 500, a key benchmark, is projected to maintain its current levels throughout 2024. This resilience can be attributed to robust economic indicators and the surge in artificial intelligence-powered trading.

  • Global Markets: European markets are catching the attention of hedge funds, as investors seek the next leg of the stock rally. Meanwhile, Asian stocks are poised to open higher following gains in the U.S. market.

Key Themes

  1. Tech Dominance: Technology stocks remain a focal point. While valuations are high, investors cannot afford to ignore this sector. Tech companies continue to drive innovation and shape our digital future.

  2. Commodities and Energy: Momentum in the energy sector persists, with oil prices potentially reaching $90-$100 per barrel. Keep an eye on commodities as they play a crucial role in the global economic landscape.

  3. Canadian Market Insights: Canada’s fiscal divide is widening, and the carbon tax hike is a hot topic. Telecom stocks, including Rogers and Telus, are undervalued and attractive. Additionally, expect more Canadian tech firms to be taken private.

Investor Strategies

  • Base Hits vs. Home Runs: In this environment, consider aiming for base hits rather than swinging for home runs. Prudent investment decisions can yield steady gains.

  • Risk-On Approach: While volatility persists, favor a risk-on approach. Diversify your portfolio and seize opportunities across sectors.

The stock market is a dynamic ecosystem, and staying informed is crucial. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or a curious observer, keep an eye on the trends, adapt your strategies, and navigate the financial landscape with confidence.

Remember, the market is like a river—sometimes calm, sometimes turbulent—but always flowing toward new horizons.


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