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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Trump Trial Turmoil: Jury Disruptions Threaten Court Proceedings

 


The criminal trial of former President Donald Trump in New York City has encountered significant disruptions, casting a shadow over the judicial process. Two jurors have been excused from duty after their personal details were inadvertently disclosed, leading to concerns for their safety and impartiality.

  • Juror Concerns: A nurse, known as “juror number two,” expressed fear for her public identification after friends and colleagues recognized her from news reports. Her apprehension about being fair and unbiased led to her dismissal from the trial.
  • Anonymity Compromised: The trial, which features an anonymous jury to protect against political tensions, has been compromised by detailed media reports. This has resulted in the identification of jurors, including a Puerto Rican IT consultant, “juror number four,” who also expressed annoyance.
  • Judge’s Directive: Justice Juan Merchan has urged journalists to exercise restraint and common sense in their reporting, specifically avoiding physical descriptions and employment details that could lead to juror identification.
  • Intimidation Tactics: The Manhattan District Attorney’s Office has highlighted Trump’s continued public comments about the trial, which may violate a gag order. This includes attacks on ex-lawyer-turned-witness Michael Cohen and comments on the jury’s composition.

The trial’s integrity is at stake as the court grapples with ensuring juror safety and maintaining the sanctity of the legal process amidst heightened political scrutiny and media attention.

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