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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...

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US stocks are on the rise today, with futures pointing to further gains as investors gear up for a fresh wave of earnings reports. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Tech-Focused Investors Anticipate Earnings: Investors are closely watching the tech sector as companies like Tesla (TSLA) prepare to release their quarterly results. S&P 500 futures rose 0.3% after staging a comeback from a six-day run of losses in the previous session.

  2. Tesla’s Catalyst: Tesla’s earnings are likely to be a significant catalyst for the S&P 500, given the stock’s weight in the index. The results, due after the market close, will be pivotal for Elon Musk’s electric vehicle maker, which has faced headwinds such as disappointing delivery outlooks and strategy shifts.

  3. Big Tech Earnings: This week, we’ll see highly anticipated results from other tech giants as well, including Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), and Alphabet (GOOG). Some analysts suspect that the momentum of these megacaps may be fading.

  4. GM’s Strong Start: Legacy automaker General Motors (GM) kicked off the earnings season on Tuesday by posting strong first-quarter results and raising its full-year guidance. GM’s stock popped around 4%, signaling success with its new electric vehicles and cost-cutting measures.

  5. Spotify’s Beat: Audio streamer Spotify (SPOT) swung to a profit, and its stock jumped amid an earnings beat.

Investors are hopeful that this week’s rush of Big Tech earnings will help pull stocks out of the slump that has persisted since the start of the year. However, some on Wall Street remain cautious. Keep an eye on the markets as we navigate through this earnings-packed week!


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