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Markets Digest Iran Peace Progress and Fed Rate-Hike Risk — June 22, 2026

  Markets are easing into a cautious start this Monday as investors return from a long weekend — U.S. markets were closed Friday for Juneteenth — and assess a mixed backdrop: tentative optimism over U.S.–Iran peace talks, a newly hawkish Federal Reserve, and a key week of economic data and earnings ahead. Oil is steadying, the Canadian dollar is under modest pressure, and Asian markets rallied while European and U.S. futures drifted slightly lower in early trading. 🍁 Canada — TSX & the Loonie The S&P/TSX Composite Index heads into Monday trading with a cautious tone, sitting near the 34,857 level after slipping 0.32% on Thursday — the last day Canadian markets were open. Energy stocks will be in focus as oil prices stabilize following weeks of volatility tied to the U.S.–Iran conflict and the partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Canadian dollar is trading at approximately 70.52 cents U.S. (CAD/USD: 0.7052), down about 0.22% on the session. The loonie remains und...
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US Stocks Waver Amid Rate Cut Speculation



As the financial world turns its gaze towards the Federal Reserve, US stocks have shown a slight decline. Investors are eagerly anticipating a speech from Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, which could provide hints on the future of interest rates. The S&P 500 has seen a minor dip, while the Dow Jones remains unsteady. The Nasdaq, largely influenced by tech, has taken a more significant hit after a collective downturn.

The market’s early-year rally has been dampened by strong economic indicators, which have lessened the likelihood of the anticipated three Fed rate cuts. The Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic predicts the first rate reduction might not occur until the year’s final quarter.

Amidst these developments, all eyes are on the outcome of Disney’s proxy fight with Nelson Peltz, as well as the impact of a major earthquake on TSMC’s operations, a key supplier to tech giants like Apple and Nvidia. Intel’s shares have also dropped following a report of increased operating losses. The financial community is on alert, waiting for signals that could steer the economic course.

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