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5 Things to Know Today: Canada Enters Recession, Oil Slips on Iran Ceasefire Talk

Saturday, May 30, 2026 — Your quick-hit Canadian financial briefing for the day. 1.Canada Officially Meets the Definition of a Technical Recession Statistics Canada confirmed Friday that real GDP contracted 0.1% on an annualized basis in Q1 2026 — following a revised 1.0% drop in Q4 2025 . That's two straight quarters of negative growth, which meets the technical definition of a recession. The miss was a big one: economists had forecast growth of 1.5% . The main culprits were a surge in imports (up 2.9%, largely gold), declining business capital investment (down 0.7% — its fifth consecutive quarterly drop ), and weakness in resource extraction and construction. On a per-capita basis, GDP actually edged up 0.2% as Canada's population shrank for the second quarter in a row. Not everyone is ready to call it a full recession: some economists note that three of the four weak months were isolated, and early April data points to a sharp 0.4% rebound . Still, the numbers ...
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US Stocks Waver Amid Rate Cut Speculation



As the financial world turns its gaze towards the Federal Reserve, US stocks have shown a slight decline. Investors are eagerly anticipating a speech from Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, which could provide hints on the future of interest rates. The S&P 500 has seen a minor dip, while the Dow Jones remains unsteady. The Nasdaq, largely influenced by tech, has taken a more significant hit after a collective downturn.

The market’s early-year rally has been dampened by strong economic indicators, which have lessened the likelihood of the anticipated three Fed rate cuts. The Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic predicts the first rate reduction might not occur until the year’s final quarter.

Amidst these developments, all eyes are on the outcome of Disney’s proxy fight with Nelson Peltz, as well as the impact of a major earthquake on TSMC’s operations, a key supplier to tech giants like Apple and Nvidia. Intel’s shares have also dropped following a report of increased operating losses. The financial community is on alert, waiting for signals that could steer the economic course.

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