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BoC Held Again at 2.25% — But a Rate Hike Is Now More Likely Than Not Before Year-End

  Bond markets put the odds of an October 28 hike at 57%. Here's what the big banks are forecasting, what it means for your mortgage payment, and how to think about your next move. MoneySavings.ca · September 17, 2026 The Bank of Canada kept its overnight rate at 2.25% on September 2 — the seventh consecutive hold since the last cut in October 2025. On the surface, nothing changed. Below the surface, everything did. Governor Tiff Macklem's post-decision language was the most hawkish the Bank has sounded in over a year. He flagged that persistently high oil prices (Brent has since touched $107) and new U.S. tariffs — combined with Canada's own $27.6 billion retaliation list — are creating genuine upside risks to inflation. The BoC's August deliberations summary, released September 16, confirmed the Governing Council is now actively weighing a hike, not just a hold. The August CPI reading that came in on September 14 didn't settle anything: headline inflation held at ...
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Dow Touches 40,000 for the First Time, But Stocks Pull Back from Records

 

Despite the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) reaching a historic milestone by touching 40,000 for the first time ever, U.S. stocks couldn’t sustain their upward momentum. Here’s a summary of today’s market activity:

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): The Dow briefly surpassed 40,000 but closed down 0.1% at 39,869.
  • S&P 500 (GSPC): The S&P 500 dropped around 0.2%, closing just below 5,300 after reaching that level for the first time on Wednesday.
  • Nasdaq Composite (IXIC): The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell about 0.3%.

Factors Influencing the Market

  1. Inflation Concerns: Three Federal Reserve officials—Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, New York Fed President John Williams, and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin—expressed caution about higher interest rates. Their comments dampened the recent stock rally.
  2. Bond Yields: Investors turned to bonds, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield (TNX) near one-month lows at around 4.33%. On Thursday, yields ticked up slightly to around 4.38%.
  3. Corporate News: Walmart (WMT) reported better-than-expected quarterly profits, revenue, and same-store sales, boosting its stock by over 7%. Meanwhile, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BKR-B) revealed a $6.7 billion stake in Chubb (CB), ending months of speculation.

Venu Sports: A New Streaming Service

In other news, Disney’s ESPN, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Fox have officially named their upcoming sports streaming service: Venu Sports. Set to debut this fall, Venu Sports will offer an extensive collection of live sports content, representing approximately 55% of U.S. sports rights.

Stay tuned for further market updates and developments! 

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