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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...

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Dow Touches 40,000 for the First Time, But Stocks Pull Back from Records

 

Despite the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) reaching a historic milestone by touching 40,000 for the first time ever, U.S. stocks couldn’t sustain their upward momentum. Here’s a summary of today’s market activity:

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): The Dow briefly surpassed 40,000 but closed down 0.1% at 39,869.
  • S&P 500 (GSPC): The S&P 500 dropped around 0.2%, closing just below 5,300 after reaching that level for the first time on Wednesday.
  • Nasdaq Composite (IXIC): The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell about 0.3%.

Factors Influencing the Market

  1. Inflation Concerns: Three Federal Reserve officials—Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, New York Fed President John Williams, and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin—expressed caution about higher interest rates. Their comments dampened the recent stock rally.
  2. Bond Yields: Investors turned to bonds, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield (TNX) near one-month lows at around 4.33%. On Thursday, yields ticked up slightly to around 4.38%.
  3. Corporate News: Walmart (WMT) reported better-than-expected quarterly profits, revenue, and same-store sales, boosting its stock by over 7%. Meanwhile, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BKR-B) revealed a $6.7 billion stake in Chubb (CB), ending months of speculation.

Venu Sports: A New Streaming Service

In other news, Disney’s ESPN, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Fox have officially named their upcoming sports streaming service: Venu Sports. Set to debut this fall, Venu Sports will offer an extensive collection of live sports content, representing approximately 55% of U.S. sports rights.

Stay tuned for further market updates and developments! 

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