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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Dow Touches 40,000 for the First Time, But Stocks Pull Back from Records

 

Despite the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) reaching a historic milestone by touching 40,000 for the first time ever, U.S. stocks couldn’t sustain their upward momentum. Here’s a summary of today’s market activity:

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): The Dow briefly surpassed 40,000 but closed down 0.1% at 39,869.
  • S&P 500 (GSPC): The S&P 500 dropped around 0.2%, closing just below 5,300 after reaching that level for the first time on Wednesday.
  • Nasdaq Composite (IXIC): The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell about 0.3%.

Factors Influencing the Market

  1. Inflation Concerns: Three Federal Reserve officials—Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, New York Fed President John Williams, and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin—expressed caution about higher interest rates. Their comments dampened the recent stock rally.
  2. Bond Yields: Investors turned to bonds, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield (TNX) near one-month lows at around 4.33%. On Thursday, yields ticked up slightly to around 4.38%.
  3. Corporate News: Walmart (WMT) reported better-than-expected quarterly profits, revenue, and same-store sales, boosting its stock by over 7%. Meanwhile, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BKR-B) revealed a $6.7 billion stake in Chubb (CB), ending months of speculation.

Venu Sports: A New Streaming Service

In other news, Disney’s ESPN, Warner Bros. Discovery, and Fox have officially named their upcoming sports streaming service: Venu Sports. Set to debut this fall, Venu Sports will offer an extensive collection of live sports content, representing approximately 55% of U.S. sports rights.

Stay tuned for further market updates and developments! 

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