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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Bets, TSX Slide, Oil Near $100 (Oct. 23)

  Canadian Money Brief • Friday, October 23, 2026 The Bank of Canada decision is five days away, the TSX gave back most of Wednesday's gains, and oil is flirting with US$100 again. Here are the five things Canadian wallets need to know today. 1. Markets Lean Toward a Bank of Canada Hike on Oct. 28 A decision that looked like a ninth straight hold is now a genuine coin flip with a hawkish tilt. After Governor Tiff Macklem warned that there is "no resolution in sight" for the Middle East conflict, BMO and Desjardins flipped to a hike call, Scotiabank firmed up its call and Goldman Sachs joined them, all looking for a quarter-point move to 2.50%. Overnight swaps priced about an 87% chance of a hike earlier this week, though other economists still argue for a hold, pointing to September's 68,000 job losses and a 6.5% unemployment rate. What it means for you: A quarter-point hike adds roughly $21 a month in interest for every $100,000 of variable-rate borrowing (HELOCs an...
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Dow’s Remarkable Rally: An 8-Day Streak of Triumphs

 

In an impressive display of resilience, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has secured its eighth consecutive day of gains, a streak not seen since early 2019. This sustained upward movement comes amid growing optimism that the Federal Reserve may introduce a rate cut sooner than anticipated.

Investors have been closely monitoring a series of speeches from Federal Reserve officials, seeking confirmation of the burgeoning belief that a rate reduction is imminent. This sentiment has been bolstered by recent indicators suggesting a cooling labor market, which could prompt a more accommodative monetary policy stance.

The Dow’s latest climb of roughly 0.2% is part of a broader recovery from April’s market slump, with the S&P 500 also advancing towards a record high. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has paralleled this ascent, albeit at a more modest pace.

On the corporate front, standout performances include TSMC, whose shares surged following a 60% sales increase in April, driven by persistent demand for AI and a resurgence in consumer electronics.

As the market heads into the weekend, all eyes are on the upcoming consumer price index report, which will offer further insights into the Federal Reserve’s potential rate cut trajectory. Investors remain hopeful that a dovish turn in policy could sustain the current rally, propelling the Dow and its counterparts to new heights.

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