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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Dow’s Remarkable Rally: An 8-Day Streak of Triumphs

 

In an impressive display of resilience, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has secured its eighth consecutive day of gains, a streak not seen since early 2019. This sustained upward movement comes amid growing optimism that the Federal Reserve may introduce a rate cut sooner than anticipated.

Investors have been closely monitoring a series of speeches from Federal Reserve officials, seeking confirmation of the burgeoning belief that a rate reduction is imminent. This sentiment has been bolstered by recent indicators suggesting a cooling labor market, which could prompt a more accommodative monetary policy stance.

The Dow’s latest climb of roughly 0.2% is part of a broader recovery from April’s market slump, with the S&P 500 also advancing towards a record high. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has paralleled this ascent, albeit at a more modest pace.

On the corporate front, standout performances include TSMC, whose shares surged following a 60% sales increase in April, driven by persistent demand for AI and a resurgence in consumer electronics.

As the market heads into the weekend, all eyes are on the upcoming consumer price index report, which will offer further insights into the Federal Reserve’s potential rate cut trajectory. Investors remain hopeful that a dovish turn in policy could sustain the current rally, propelling the Dow and its counterparts to new heights.

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