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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Global Alert Issued for LGBTQ2 Safety Amid Rising Threats

The U.S. State Department recently issued a worldwide security alert, raising concerns about the safety of LGBTQ2 individuals and events abroad. The alert comes in response to an increased risk of “foreign terrorist organization-inspired violence” targeting LGBTQ2 communities. As we approach Pride Month, both Canada and the United States are on high alert.

The State Department advises U.S. citizens overseas to exercise increased caution, especially in locations frequented by tourists and during Pride celebrations. While the department did not provide specific details on the threat, it underscores the importance of vigilance and awareness for LGBTQ2 travelers.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken emphasized the ongoing challenges faced by LGBTQ2 people, including discrimination and violence. He reaffirmed their universal human rights and dignity, urging global recognition and support.

In Canada, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau acknowledged progress but highlighted the need for continued efforts to create a safer, more inclusive environment. While Canada has not issued a similar global travel warning, its website offers advice for LGBTQ2 travelers facing potential barriers and risks abroad.

As we stand together against discrimination and violence, let us remain vigilant and committed to ensuring the safety and well-being of LGBTQ2 communities worldwide.

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