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Markets Digest Hot U.S. Inflation as Iran Tensions Keep Oil Elevated

Publication:  moneysavings.ca / Canadian Money Brief  Date:  Tuesday, May 13, 2026 The TSX opens cautiously Wednesday after hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI data rattled Wall Street on Tuesday, while Strait of Hormuz disruptions continue to lift energy stocks and pressure the loonie toward 1.35 against the greenback. TSX ~34,291 S&P 500 7,400.96 ▼0.16% WTI Oil ~$102/bbl ▲ Gold ~$4,721 USD/oz ▼ USD/CAD ~1.35 US CPI Apr 3.8% ▲ (est. 3.7%) Market Overview Canadian investors are starting Wednesday on a cautious note following a mixed session south of the border. U.S. equities dipped Tuesday after April's consumer price index came in at 3.8% — a touch above the 3.7% consensus forecast and the highest reading since May 2023 — while the core rate held at 2.8%, also above expectations. The data has effectively closed the door on any Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, with traders now pricing in a roughly 70% chance of a rate hike by April 2027. For Canadians, the ripple effects...
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Israeli Forces Near Rafah Amid U.S. Pressure

                                                

Israeli forces have gathered near Rafah, with tanks firing close to residential areas and drones monitoring the city from above. The U.S. President, Joe Biden, has threatened to withhold military aid if Israel proceeds with a full-scale invasion of Rafah. Ceasefire negotiations continue in Cairo, with various parties involved, including Hamas and Islamic Jihad, who claim to have engaged Israeli forces with anti-tank rockets and mortars.

Key Points:

  • Tensions in Rafah: Israeli tanks and helicopters are active near Rafah, causing casualties and damage.
  • U.S. Stance: Biden warns of withholding weapons from Israel to prevent a major invasion of Rafah.
  • Ceasefire Efforts: Talks in Cairo involve multiple parties, with the U.S. playing a significant role in negotiations.
  • Humanitarian Crisis: The conflict has led to a severe humanitarian situation in Gaza, with shortages of medical supplies and food, and the displacement of thousands of people.

The situation remains volatile, with ongoing military actions and diplomatic efforts to reach a ceasefire. The international community is closely watching the developments, hoping for a resolution that ensures the safety and security of all parties involved.

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