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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Israeli Forces Near Rafah Amid U.S. Pressure

                                                

Israeli forces have gathered near Rafah, with tanks firing close to residential areas and drones monitoring the city from above. The U.S. President, Joe Biden, has threatened to withhold military aid if Israel proceeds with a full-scale invasion of Rafah. Ceasefire negotiations continue in Cairo, with various parties involved, including Hamas and Islamic Jihad, who claim to have engaged Israeli forces with anti-tank rockets and mortars.

Key Points:

  • Tensions in Rafah: Israeli tanks and helicopters are active near Rafah, causing casualties and damage.
  • U.S. Stance: Biden warns of withholding weapons from Israel to prevent a major invasion of Rafah.
  • Ceasefire Efforts: Talks in Cairo involve multiple parties, with the U.S. playing a significant role in negotiations.
  • Humanitarian Crisis: The conflict has led to a severe humanitarian situation in Gaza, with shortages of medical supplies and food, and the displacement of thousands of people.

The situation remains volatile, with ongoing military actions and diplomatic efforts to reach a ceasefire. The international community is closely watching the developments, hoping for a resolution that ensures the safety and security of all parties involved.

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