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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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Israeli Forces Seize Crucial Rafah Border Crossing in Gaza

 

Israeli ground forces have seized control of the Gaza side of the Rafah border crossing with Egypt, effectively cutting off a vital route for humanitarian aid and potential sanctuary for civilians. The crossing has been a crucial entry point for supplies into the besieged enclave.

The Israeli 401st Brigade entered the Rafah crossing on Tuesday morning, a day after the Palestinian group governing Gaza said it accepted an Egyptian-Qatari mediated ceasefire proposal. However, Israel insisted that the deal did not meet its core demands. The seizure of the Rafah crossing comes as prospects for a ceasefire deal with Hamas hang in the balance.

The Rafah crossing is crucial for both aid and those able to flee into Egypt. Israeli leaders had long anticipated a military operation into the southern city, where some 1.4 million Palestinians, including more than 600,000 children, are sheltering. Despite warnings from the United Nations, United States, the European Union, and international humanitarian organizations that an attack would be catastrophic, Israel moved forward with its offensive.

Footage released by the Israeli military showed a tank entering the Palestinian side of the Rafah crossing. Details of the video matched known features of the crossing, and Israeli flags were seen flying from tanks that seized the area. The military said its special forces were scanning the area and had been operating since Monday night in eastern Rafah. Evacuations were carried out, with Palestinians instructed to move towards al-Mawasi on the Mediterranean Sea coast, where a humanitarian zone with field hospitals, tents, and medical supplies had been set up. However, the Israeli military intensified its bombardment of the city, resulting in casualties.

As the situation unfolds, the seizure of the Rafah crossing puts ceasefire talks on a knife’s edge. The international community closely watches developments in the region, hoping for a resolution that will spare civilian lives and alleviate the humanitarian crisis in Gaza. However, with Israel’s insistence on achieving its aims and Hamas’s resistance, the path to peace remains uncertain.


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