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Macklem Just Raised the Inflation Alarm: What Monday’s CPI Means for Your Wallet

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Sunday, October 18, 2026  |  Written ahead of Monday’s 8:30 am ET inflation release Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem has just told Canadians what the central bank is about to say on October 28: its inflation forecast is going up, and by a lot. The reason is oil. With the Middle East conflict dragging on, shipments still curtailed and refinery capacity damaged, he said the risk that inflation broadens and lingers has gone up. Speaking to reporters from Bangkok on Saturday, he framed the coming decision as a simple question: will inflation drift back toward 2% on its own, or does the Bank need to raise rates to nudge it there? Monday is the first real clue. Here is what is landing, what economists expect, and what it could mean for your gas bill, your grocery cart, your heating costs and your mortgage. 3.0% August CPI, year over year 3.2% September consensus (Reuters poll) 2.25% BoC policy rate, unchanged for nearly a year Oct 28 Rat...
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Israel’s Intensifying Military Operation in Rafah Sparks International Concerns

 

In a recent escalation of conflict, Israel has intensified its military operation in the southern Gaza city of Rafah. Despite U.S. warnings about the risk of mass casualties, Israeli forces have pushed forward, bombarding towns in the north of the Strip and vowing to broaden their ground operation in Rafah. Here are the key points:

  1. Intensified Conflict: Israeli forces have made a new push in central Gaza, leading to intense battles in Jabalia, a northern Palestinian enclave. At least 23 people have been killed in the latest fighting.

  2. Rafah’s Importance: Israel considers Rafah, located on Gaza’s border with Egypt, as Hamas’ last stronghold. The city has become a focal point of the conflict, with hundreds of thousands of displaced Palestinians seeking shelter there.

  3. International Concerns: Western powers are deeply concerned about the humanitarian situation in Rafah. Despite Israeli assurances, civilians have been caught in the crossfire, and the United Nations estimates that over 810,000 people have fled the city since the conflict escalated.

  4. Allies at Odds: Israel’s plan for an all-out assault on Rafah has strained its relationship with its main ally, the United States. Washington even held up a weapons shipment due to fears of large civilian casualties.

  5. Prime Minister’s Stance: Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has vowed to press ahead with sending troops into Rafah, rejecting international pressure. He emphasized that Israel is determined to realize its war aims, regardless of the risks.

The situation remains tense, and the world watches closely as the conflict unfolds. The fate of Rafah and its civilian population hangs in the balance.

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