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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...
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Stock Futures Signal Sustained Rally Amid Positive Market Sentiment

 


In a promising start to the day, stock futures have edged higher, indicating that the recent market rally is not only holding but set to continue. Investors appear to be riding a wave of optimism as earnings season progresses, with several key companies reporting better-than-expected results.

The upbeat mood in the market is further bolstered by the performance of international markets and the sales of blockbuster drugs, which have led companies like Novartis to raise their guidance. This positive outlook is reflected in the pre-market gains across major indices, suggesting a robust opening for the trading day.

Despite some concerns over inflation and interest rate hikes, the overall sentiment remains bullish. Market analysts are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s signals, which could impact the trajectory of the rally. However, for now, the green arrows in the futures markets are pointing to a continuation of the upward trend that has characterized the past sessions.

As the market opens, all eyes will be on the performance of the stocks that have been the drivers of the rally, with investors hoping that the momentum will carry through to secure another day of gains.

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