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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Stock Futures Signal Sustained Rally Amid Positive Market Sentiment

 


In a promising start to the day, stock futures have edged higher, indicating that the recent market rally is not only holding but set to continue. Investors appear to be riding a wave of optimism as earnings season progresses, with several key companies reporting better-than-expected results.

The upbeat mood in the market is further bolstered by the performance of international markets and the sales of blockbuster drugs, which have led companies like Novartis to raise their guidance. This positive outlook is reflected in the pre-market gains across major indices, suggesting a robust opening for the trading day.

Despite some concerns over inflation and interest rate hikes, the overall sentiment remains bullish. Market analysts are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s signals, which could impact the trajectory of the rally. However, for now, the green arrows in the futures markets are pointing to a continuation of the upward trend that has characterized the past sessions.

As the market opens, all eyes will be on the performance of the stocks that have been the drivers of the rally, with investors hoping that the momentum will carry through to secure another day of gains.

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