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Bond Yields Are Nearing 5%: What It Means for Your Mortgage and HELOC

  Published September 11, 2026 Something is happening in the bond market this week that matters more to your wallet than the daily swings in the TSX. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note closed in on 5% on Friday — 4.95% , its highest level since 2023 and approaching territory not seen since 2007 — after climbing 18 basis points in a single week. Canadian bond yields have followed the same path: the 10-year Government of Canada bond hit its highest level in over two years earlier this month, and the 5-year bond — the one that actually sets your fixed mortgage rate — has drifted up to roughly 3.41%, about a quarter-point higher than it was a month ago. If you're renewing a mortgage, shopping for a HELOC, or just trying to figure out whether now is the moment to lock in, here's what's actually going on and what it means for your payments. Why bond yields, not the Bank of Canada, are driving fixed rates right now It's a common mix-up: people watch the Bank of Canada...

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Stock Futures Signal Sustained Rally Amid Positive Market Sentiment

 


In a promising start to the day, stock futures have edged higher, indicating that the recent market rally is not only holding but set to continue. Investors appear to be riding a wave of optimism as earnings season progresses, with several key companies reporting better-than-expected results.

The upbeat mood in the market is further bolstered by the performance of international markets and the sales of blockbuster drugs, which have led companies like Novartis to raise their guidance. This positive outlook is reflected in the pre-market gains across major indices, suggesting a robust opening for the trading day.

Despite some concerns over inflation and interest rate hikes, the overall sentiment remains bullish. Market analysts are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s signals, which could impact the trajectory of the rally. However, for now, the green arrows in the futures markets are pointing to a continuation of the upward trend that has characterized the past sessions.

As the market opens, all eyes will be on the performance of the stocks that have been the drivers of the rally, with investors hoping that the momentum will carry through to secure another day of gains.

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