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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Stock Futures Signal Sustained Rally Amid Positive Market Sentiment

 


In a promising start to the day, stock futures have edged higher, indicating that the recent market rally is not only holding but set to continue. Investors appear to be riding a wave of optimism as earnings season progresses, with several key companies reporting better-than-expected results.

The upbeat mood in the market is further bolstered by the performance of international markets and the sales of blockbuster drugs, which have led companies like Novartis to raise their guidance. This positive outlook is reflected in the pre-market gains across major indices, suggesting a robust opening for the trading day.

Despite some concerns over inflation and interest rate hikes, the overall sentiment remains bullish. Market analysts are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s signals, which could impact the trajectory of the rally. However, for now, the green arrows in the futures markets are pointing to a continuation of the upward trend that has characterized the past sessions.

As the market opens, all eyes will be on the performance of the stocks that have been the drivers of the rally, with investors hoping that the momentum will carry through to secure another day of gains.

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