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5 Things to Know Today: Canada’s CPI, Alberta’s Vote and Oil Near $100 (Oct. 18)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 18, 2026 Markets are closed, but Monday is packed: Canada's September inflation reading, a high-stakes Alberta referendum and a Bank of Canada decision just ten days away. Here are the five things that matter for your wallet today. 1. Canada's September CPI lands Monday, 9 days before the BoC decision Statistics Canada releases September inflation Monday at 8:30 a.m. ET. A Reuters/LSEG poll of economists expects 3.2% (up from 3.0% in August); TD also sees 3.2%, while RBC expects 3.0% for a third straight month. Core inflation is expected to stay soft, around 1.8%-1.9%. The Bank of Canada also publishes its Business Outlook Survey Monday, and the policy rate (2.25%) is decided Oct. 28. What it means for you: A hot core number would raise odds of a hike, which hits variable-rate mortgages and HELOCs first. A soft core number with headline driven by gas supports the "hold" camp. 2. Alberta votes Monday on ten referendum questio...
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Stock Market Today: Dow Nears 40,000 as Stocks Regroup Near Record Highs


US stocks remained relatively unchanged on Thursday following a record-setting rally. Signs of cooling inflation have fueled expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. Here are the key highlights:

  1. Market Performance:

    • The S&P 500 (^GSPC) edged slightly higher after closing above 5,300 for the first time.
    • The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) were trading near the flatline.
    • All three major indices ended Wednesday at all-time highs, leaving the Dow less than 100 points away from breaking through the 40,000 mark.

  2. Inflation and Rate Cut Speculation:

    • April’s tepid consumer inflation reading brought relief to a market anticipating higher interest rates. Trader bets on a Fed rate cut in September rose to over 70%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
    • Investors also turned to bonds, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield (^TNX) down to near one-month lows at around 4.33%.

  3. Corporate News:

    • Walmart (WMT) posted better-than-expected quarterly profit, revenue, and same-store sales. The US retail giant’s shares surged over 5% as it raised its full-year forecasts.
    • Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (BKR-B) revealed a $6.7 billion stake in Chubb (CB), ending months of suspense over a position kept concealed in regulatory filings. Chubb’s shares climbed about 8%.

  4. Insights from Walmart’s CFO:

    • Walmart’s CFO, John David Rainey, highlighted deflation in certain product categories but not disinflation. Sales in May started strong, benefiting from investments in same-day delivery and buy online, pick up in stores technology.
    • Walmart’s market cap crossed the $500 billion level.

In summary, the stock market remains resilient, with investors closely monitoring inflation trends and anticipating further Fed actions. The Dow’s march toward 40,000 continues, fueled by positive corporate earnings and strategic investments.


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