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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Trump Trial Judge Seals the Courtroom to Unleash on MAGA Lawyer


In a dramatic turn of events during Donald Trump’s criminal trial in Manhattan, Judge Juan Merchan suddenly sealed the courtroom on Monday afternoon. The reason? A heated confrontation with Robert Costello, a MAGA-friendly lawyer who played a key role in the attempted backchannel between Michael Cohen and the Trump White House in 2018.

Costello, a former prosecutor, had been reprimanded for outbursts in court whenever he was interrupted or told not to answer a question that had been objected to and sustained. As tensions escalated, Costello began to stare down the judge. Merchan took action, ordering the jury out of the room and addressing Costello directly: “Mr. Costello, I’d like to discuss proper decorum in my courtroom, OK?”.

Despite the warning, Costello continued to push boundaries. When Merchan turned around, he caught Costello staring at him again. Frustrated, the judge ordered security to seal the courtroom and ejected all journalists so he could give Costello a dressing down. When the journalists returned, Costello’s face had turned beet red, and he continued to answer questions from defense lawyer Emil Bove about his minor role in the New York criminal case against the former president.

Costello’s testimony also shed light on Michael Cohen’s behavior after the FBI raided his apartment in search of evidence related to a campaign finance crime. According to Costello, Cohen was “suicidal that day and acting very manic.” Costello had advised Cohen that cooperating with the Southern District of New York and providing truthful information about Donald Trump would resolve his legal problems by the end of the week.

The courtroom drama continues, and the clash between the judge and the MAGA lawyer adds another layer of intensity to Trump’s trial. Stay tuned for further developments as this high-stakes legal battle unfolds.

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