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Fed Poised for Rate Cut, Signals Limited Easing Ahead

                                                          US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates at its upcoming meeting, marking a shift in monetary policy aimed at supporting economic growth amid cooling inflation and slowing demand. While markets have anticipated a series of reductions, policymakers appear cautious, with signals suggesting only one additional cut may be on the horizon for next year. This measured approach reflects the Fed’s balancing act: easing financial conditions to sustain momentum while avoiding overstimulation that could reignite price pressures. Investors are closely watching the central bank’s language for clues on the trajectory of borrowing costs, as households and businesses continue to navigate a delicate economic environment....
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US Futures Dip as Investors Seek Inspiration


The US stock market futures are showing a slight decline today as investors search for inspiration amid mixed signals. Let’s break down the key points:

  1. Rate-Cut and AI Growth Hopes Take a Hit:

    • The recent optimism surrounding rate cuts and artificial intelligence (AI) growth has waned. Federal Reserve officials have emphasized that interest rates will remain higher for longer due to persistent inflation concerns.
    • High yields on 10-year Treasury bonds have weighed on growth stocks, particularly megacap Big Tech companies.

  2. Arm’s Revenue Forecast Dampens AI Enthusiasm:

    • Arm, a major chip designer, provided a downbeat annual revenue forecast. This has cast doubt on the AI growth narrative that had previously boosted chip stocks.
    • Shares of Arm dropped 9% in pre-market trading, and sector peers Nvidia and AMD also saw slight declines.

  3. Earnings Season Continues:

    • Warner Bros. Discovery reported earnings that missed estimates, failing to provide support for investors seeking positive catalysts.
    • Other companies, including Roblox and Yelp, are also reporting earnings today as the season winds down.

  4. Macro Front Updates:

    • Keep an eye on weekly jobless claims data, which is due later today.
    • San Francisco Fed Chief Mary Daly is scheduled to speak, potentially providing further insights.

In summary, the stock market remains cautious, with investors closely monitoring earnings reports and macroeconomic indicators. The path forward depends on how various factors play out in the coming days.


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