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Markets Brief: Iran Deal Hopes Drive Global Rally — TSX Eyes a Strong Open | May 29, 2026

It's been a week dominated by one headline: the U.S.-Iran war and the fragile hopes of a peace deal. Heading into the long weekend, markets are ending Friday on an optimistic note, with record-setting sessions in Asia and a strong tone across North America. Here's your full wrap. Canada — TSX After a rough patch mid-week, the TSX bounced back Thursday — its first gain since Monday's record close — finishing up around 0.7% to the 34,770s range, driven largely by a blockbuster round of Big Six bank earnings. All six of Canada's largest banks beat analysts' estimates for Q2 (quarter ended April 30), raising dividends and signalling cautious optimism despite the volatile global backdrop. RBC posted a standout quarter, with its Wealth Management division up 28% year-over-year. TD Bank earned $4.25 billion in adjusted net income ($2.38/share), topping expectations, and raised its dividend. CIBC's profit surged 43%, with adjusted EPS of $2.76 beating consensus by a wid...

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US Futures Rise as Inflation Report Anticipation Grows

As the US stock market opens today, investors are greeted with a slight uptick in futures, signaling a cautious optimism. The focus is now shifting towards the upcoming inflation report, which is expected to play a pivotal role in the Federal Reserve’s decision-making process regarding interest rate adjustments.

  • Market Movement: S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are all experiencing modest gains, with the Dow coming off its best week of the year.
  • Inflation Expectations: The market is on edge with the Consumer Price Index update for April looming, which could indicate whether inflation remains persistent into Q2.
  • GameStop Surge: Shares of GameStop soared nearly 40% in pre-market trading, reigniting interest in meme stocks, partly due to the return of “Roaring Kitty,” a key figure in the 2021 meme stock phenomenon.
  • Netflix’s Rebound: Analysts attribute Netflix’s recent 12% rally to a combination of factors, including strategic decisions and anticipation for their upcoming Upfront presentation.

Investors are now bracing for a week filled with economic releases that could serve as significant catalysts for the market’s direction. The anticipation is palpable, with many hoping for signs of a faster inflation descent that could set the stage for potential rate cuts later this year.

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