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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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US Futures Rise as Inflation Report Anticipation Grows

As the US stock market opens today, investors are greeted with a slight uptick in futures, signaling a cautious optimism. The focus is now shifting towards the upcoming inflation report, which is expected to play a pivotal role in the Federal Reserve’s decision-making process regarding interest rate adjustments.

  • Market Movement: S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are all experiencing modest gains, with the Dow coming off its best week of the year.
  • Inflation Expectations: The market is on edge with the Consumer Price Index update for April looming, which could indicate whether inflation remains persistent into Q2.
  • GameStop Surge: Shares of GameStop soared nearly 40% in pre-market trading, reigniting interest in meme stocks, partly due to the return of “Roaring Kitty,” a key figure in the 2021 meme stock phenomenon.
  • Netflix’s Rebound: Analysts attribute Netflix’s recent 12% rally to a combination of factors, including strategic decisions and anticipation for their upcoming Upfront presentation.

Investors are now bracing for a week filled with economic releases that could serve as significant catalysts for the market’s direction. The anticipation is palpable, with many hoping for signs of a faster inflation descent that could set the stage for potential rate cuts later this year.

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