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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds Near 80%, Oil Tops US$100, Loonie Hits 5-Week High

  Canadian Money Brief  |  Saturday, October 24, 2026 The Bank of Canada is expected to raise rates on Wednesday, oil is back above US$100 and stocks slipped on AI worries. Here are the five things to know this Saturday, and what each one means for your wallet. 1 The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hike on Wednesday Markets are putting roughly an 80% chance on a quarter-point increase at the Bank of Canada’s Oct. 28 decision, which would lift the policy rate from 2.25% to 2.50%. A majority of economists polled by Reuters also expect a second hike by the end of March. The shift followed hawkish comments from Governor Tiff Macklem about a higher inflation outlook driven by oil. What it means for you Every 0.25-point increase adds about $250 a year (roughly $21 a month) for each $100,000 of prime-linked debt, such as a variable-rate mortgage or HELOC. Fixed-rate holders are not hit directly, but renewals are being priced off higher bond yields. Savers may see HISA and...
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U.S. Stock Market Rallies as Dow Streaks and S&P 500 Surges


The U.S. stock market experienced a significant upswing today, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average extending its winning streak to seven consecutive trading sessions. The S&P 500 also made a notable climb, moving back above the 5,200 mark for the first time since early April. This positive momentum is largely attributed to signs of a cooling labor market, which has fueled investor optimism for a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the coming months.

  • Dow’s Winning Streak: The Dow rose by approximately 0.9%, marking its seventh day of gains.
  • S&P 500’s Climb: The S&P 500 gained 0.5%, breaching the 5,200 level once again.
  • Labor Market’s Influence: Initial weekly jobless claims increased, suggesting a slowing job market and raising hopes for a Fed rate cut.
  • Sector Performance: Real Estate and Utilities led the sectors, while Technology and Communications Services lagged behind.

Investors are closely monitoring the labor market and other economic indicators to gauge the Federal Reserve’s next moves, which could have significant implications for the stock market’s trajectory in the near future.

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