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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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U.S. Stock Market Rallies as Dow Streaks and S&P 500 Surges


The U.S. stock market experienced a significant upswing today, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average extending its winning streak to seven consecutive trading sessions. The S&P 500 also made a notable climb, moving back above the 5,200 mark for the first time since early April. This positive momentum is largely attributed to signs of a cooling labor market, which has fueled investor optimism for a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the coming months.

  • Dow’s Winning Streak: The Dow rose by approximately 0.9%, marking its seventh day of gains.
  • S&P 500’s Climb: The S&P 500 gained 0.5%, breaching the 5,200 level once again.
  • Labor Market’s Influence: Initial weekly jobless claims increased, suggesting a slowing job market and raising hopes for a Fed rate cut.
  • Sector Performance: Real Estate and Utilities led the sectors, while Technology and Communications Services lagged behind.

Investors are closely monitoring the labor market and other economic indicators to gauge the Federal Reserve’s next moves, which could have significant implications for the stock market’s trajectory in the near future.

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