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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Armed Militants Kill Priest and Police in Attacks on Churches and Synagogue in Dagestan

 

Armed militants launched a series of attacks in Russia's southern republic of Dagestan, resulting in the deaths of a priest and six police officers. The incidents occurred at two Orthodox churches, a synagogue, and a traffic police post.

According to Russian state news agency RIA Novosti, the assailants targeted a synagogue and a church in the city of Derbent, located on the Caspian Sea. The attackers fled the scene, prompting a search operation by authorities. Two militants were reportedly "eliminated" during the pursuit.

Simultaneously, a traffic police post in the capital of Dagestan, Makhachkala, was also attacked. Six policemen lost their lives, and 12 others were injured in this separate incident.

While no group has claimed responsibility for the attacks, some officials in Dagestan have pointed fingers at Ukraine and NATO. However, Ukrainian authorities have not yet commented on the situation.

President Ramzan Kadyrov of neighboring Chechnya condemned the violence, describing it as a "vile provocation" aimed at sowing discord between religious communities.

The situation remains tense, and authorities are investigating the motives behind these tragic events.


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