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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Heat Wave Sweeps Ontario and Quebec: Record-Breaking Temperatures and Health Risks

 


As the mercury soars into the 30s across Ontario and Quebec this week, residents are bracing for an extended period of extreme heat and humidity. Humidex levels are stretching into the 40s, posing health risks for everyone. Here’s what you need to know:

  1. Health Impacts: Extreme heat can lead to heat exhaustion and heat stroke. Stay hydrated, avoid strenuous outdoor activities, and be vigilant about heat-related symptoms.

  2. Record-Breaking Heat: A strong ridge of high pressure over the eastern U.S. and the Great Lakes is driving this heat wave. Hot, muggy winds from the Gulf of Mexico add tropical humidity. Humidex values could reach the mid-40s in Greater Toronto, Hamilton, Ottawa, and Montreal, challenging records set during the 2018 heat wave.

  3. Air Quality Concerns: The stagnant, humid air mass may deteriorate air quality. Scattered thunderstorms could provide temporary relief, but overall, we’re in for sweltering days and sticky nights.

Remember to take precautions, stay informed about weather alerts, and prioritize your well-being during this intense heat wave. 

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