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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Israel Storms Gaza City Neighborhood, Orders Palestinians to Move South

 


In a recent escalation of the ongoing conflict, Israel stormed a neighborhood in Gaza City, directing Palestinians to move south. Tanks rolled into the Shejaia neighborhood, firing and causing destruction. Drones also attacked after overnight bombings. The Palestinian Civil Emergency Service reported casualties in Shejaia, but their teams were unable to reach the affected areas due to the ongoing offensive. Meanwhile, the armed wing of Hamas ally Islamic Jihad detonated an explosive device against an Israeli tank east of Shejaia.

The situation remains dire in Gaza, with aid officials warning of high famine risk. Almost half a million people face “catastrophic” food insecurity. Additionally, the death toll from malnutrition and dehydration has risen, with at least 31 children losing their lives. Israel denies creating famine conditions, attributing distribution problems to aid agencies and accusing Hamas of diverting aid.

This conflict continues to have devastating consequences for civilians, and urgent humanitarian efforts are needed to address the crisis.



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