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5 Things to Know Today: BoC Hike Odds, Fixed Rates, Tariff Swap, $100 Oil & Budget Countdown (Oct. 25)

  Canadian Money Brief • Sunday, October 25, 2026 A big week for your wallet starts Wednesday. Here are the five things Canadians should know before it begins. 1 The Bank of Canada decides Wednesday, and markets lean toward a hike The Bank of Canada announces its rate decision at 9:45 a.m. ET on Wednesday, Oct. 28, alongside a new Monetary Policy Report. Prediction markets price roughly a 79% chance of a quarter-point hike to 2.50%, up sharply after Governor Tiff Macklem’s hawkish comments at the IMF meetings, though analysts remain split and some expect a “hawkish hold.” The U.S. Fed also decides that day. What it means for you: Variable-rate mortgage and HELOC holders feel it first. A 0.25-point hike works out to roughly $70 more per month on a $500,000 variable mortgage (25-year amortization), and prime would move from 4.45% to 4.70%. A hold means little change until the next decision on Dec. 9. 2 Fixed mortgage rates have already moved without the Bank Fixed rates follow bond ...
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Israel Storms Gaza City Neighborhood, Orders Palestinians to Move South

 


In a recent escalation of the ongoing conflict, Israel stormed a neighborhood in Gaza City, directing Palestinians to move south. Tanks rolled into the Shejaia neighborhood, firing and causing destruction. Drones also attacked after overnight bombings. The Palestinian Civil Emergency Service reported casualties in Shejaia, but their teams were unable to reach the affected areas due to the ongoing offensive. Meanwhile, the armed wing of Hamas ally Islamic Jihad detonated an explosive device against an Israeli tank east of Shejaia.

The situation remains dire in Gaza, with aid officials warning of high famine risk. Almost half a million people face “catastrophic” food insecurity. Additionally, the death toll from malnutrition and dehydration has risen, with at least 31 children losing their lives. Israel denies creating famine conditions, attributing distribution problems to aid agencies and accusing Hamas of diverting aid.

This conflict continues to have devastating consequences for civilians, and urgent humanitarian efforts are needed to address the crisis.



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