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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Israel’s Military Announces Tactical Pause to Facilitate Aid Delivery in Southern Gaza

 

In a significant move, Israel’s military declared a “tactical pause” in its offensive operations along a 12-kilometer route in the southern Gaza Strip. The purpose of this pause is to allow for the delivery of increased quantities of humanitarian aid to desperate Palestinians who have been enduring a severe crisis due to the ongoing war. The announcement came after discussions with the United Nations and international aid agencies.

Key Points:

  • The pause begins at 8 a.m. (0500 GMT) and lasts until 7 p.m. (1600 GMT), continuing until further notice.
  • It specifically applies to the Rafah area, allowing aid trucks to reach the Israel-controlled Kerem Shalom crossing, a crucial entry point for aid.
  • The bottleneck at Kerem Shalom resulted from Israeli ground troops moving into Rafah earlier this year.
  • While this pause falls short of a complete cease-fire, it aims to address the overwhelming needs of Palestinians in the region.
  • The international community, including Israel’s top ally, the United States, has been advocating for more substantial measures to alleviate the crisis.
  • The hope is that smoother operations at checkpoints and regular fuel entry will follow this initial step.

As Muslims begin marking the major Eid Al-Adha holiday, this humanitarian effort seeks to provide much-needed relief to those affected by the conflict. While challenges remain, the pause represents a crucial step toward easing the crisis in Gaza.


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