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The Fed Decides Wednesday — Here's What It Means for Your Mortgage, the Loonie, and Your RRSP

  Monday, July 27, 2026 The U.S. Federal Reserve hands down its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET on July 29. For most Canadians it will feel like background noise. It isn't — here's the plain-language version of why it touches your mortgage, your cross-border spending, and whatever's sitting in your RRSP. The short version: Markets are pricing roughly a two-in-three chance the Fed holds its rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday. That's not the story. The story is that this is one of the least certain "sure thing" holds in years — and Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET could matter more than the decision itself. Why this meeting is different The Fed has held its benchmark rate steady at 3.50%–3.75% through every meeting so far in 2026. On paper, Wednesday should be more of the same. Under the hood, it's messier. Persistent inflation, running well above the Fed's 2% target for a fifth straight year, has kept a rate hike on the table. The oil-...
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Market Retreat: European Turmoil and Tesla’s Pay Package in Focus


US stock futures pulled back on Friday, signaling a retreat from all-time highs as European turmoil rattled nerves and Elon Musk’s pay package win put Tesla (TSLA) center stage. Here are the key points:

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (YM=F) futures sank about 0.7%, leading the declines.
  • S&P 500 (ES=F) futures shed 0.5%.
  • Contracts on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (NQ=F) were roughly 0.2% lower.

Stocks have been losing steam after the benchmark S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite nailed record closes for the fourth day in a row, driven by strength in tech stocks. However, questions persist about the breadth of this year’s rally. Investors are closely watching the coming PCE inflation reading, which could impact the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions.

Meanwhile, Tesla shares were up around 1% in Friday’s premarket after shareholders re-approved CEO Elon Musk’s $56 billion pay package. Despite opposition from some large investors, 77% of votes were cast in favor, the EV maker said.

Not helping spirits was a slump in European stocks, which were headed for their worst week since October. Investors are concerned about the fallout for markets if the far right makes gains or even wins France’s snap election. Another dose of worry came from the Bank of Japan’s decision to hold off from giving details of its bond-buying cuts until July, a surprise move interpreted as delaying a rate hike.

In individual movers, Adobe (ADBE) shares jumped 15% after an upbeat AI sales projection from the Photoshop maker. Investors are also eyeing political turmoil in France as uncertainty about rate cuts dogs the market.


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