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Housing Market Outlook 2026: Prices Stabilizing, Demand Still Weak

  If you've been watching the Canadian housing market and waiting for a clear signal — up, down, or sideways — welcome to 2026, where the answer is stubbornly "sideways." Prices have stopped falling in most regions, but they're not exactly rallying either. Meanwhile, the buyers who were supposed to flood back after rate cuts? Still sitting on the fence. Here's what the data says and what it means for your wallet. 📊 Quick Stats — April 2026 National average home price: $695,412 (+2.2% year-over-year) National benchmark price (MLS HPI): $666,400 (-4.2% year-over-year) Months of inventory: 5.2 (balanced territory) GTA average price: $1,051,969 (-4.9% year-over-year) Bank of Canada policy rate: 2.25% (held steady) 📉 Why Are Prices "Stabilizing" But Not Recovering? Canada's housing market entered 2026 caught between two opposing forces. On one side, the Bank of Canada cut its policy rate from a peak of 5.0% all the way down to 2.25%, which should ...

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May Housing Market: Sales Decline Amid Record High Prices

 

In May, sales of previously owned homes declined for the third consecutive month as prices hit an all-time high. Year-over-year sales were down by 2.8%¹. The median home price in the US reached $419,300, contributing to the slowdown in home sales due to elevated interest rates. 

Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), expressed surprise at the lack of a spring recovery. Only the Midwest saw an increase in home sales, while other regions remained flat or experienced monthly declines. Despite the market's softer conditions, homes still received multiple offers, and first-time buyers' share of purchases surpassed 30% for the second straight month³. It's a complex market situation, but I hope this summary sheds some light on the current trends! 




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