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5 Things to Know Today: Fed Decision Looms, TSX Slides, Gas Prices Climb (Sept 16)

  Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed's biggest decision in years lands at 2 p.m. ET today, the TSX and loonie are both licking their wounds, and drivers are paying more at the pump despite the gas tax holiday. Here's what's moving your money this morning. 1. The Fed Decides on Rates Today — and a Hike Looks All but Certain The Federal Reserve announces its rate decision at 2 p.m. ET, with Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference to follow at 2:30 p.m. Markets have priced in over 90% odds of a 25-basis-point hike, which would lift the target range to 3.75%–4.00% from 3.50%–3.75%, where it's sat since December. It would be the first hike of this cycle, driven by inflation still running above target even as the labour market holds up. What it means for you: A Fed hike widens the gap with the Bank of Canada's 2.25% rate, which tends to pressure the loonie lower and nudge Canadian bond yields — and by extension fixed mortgage pricing — upward. Watch for the reaction ...

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Missile Barrage Strikes Northern Israel: Emergency Services Respond to Escalating Tensions

 

Israeli emergency services reported dealing with a string of fires in northern Israel on Friday after dozens of missiles were fired from southern Lebanon into the area around the border town of Kiryat Shemona. The military confirmed that warning sirens had sounded in northern Israel, and emergency services teams were dispatched to search the affected area. Fortunately, there were no casualties reported, but property damage occurred.

Television footage showed damaged buildings, cars, and brush fires caused by strikes or falling debris amid heatwave conditions. The Israeli military has been engaged in regular exchanges of fire with Hezbollah forces across the border in southern Lebanon since the start of the war in Gaza last October. While neither side appears to desire a wider conflict, the escalating strikes raise concerns about the situation spiraling out of control.

The latest salvo followed an Israeli strike that killed a senior commander from the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militia in southern Lebanon earlier this week. Tens of thousands of residents have been evacuated from their homes on both sides of the border, putting pressure on diplomatic efforts to resolve the stand-off.

On Friday, the Israeli Air Force intercepted 11 out of 16 drones launched by Hezbollah against Israel in the past 72 hours. The situation remains tense, with the risk of further escalation in a region that has already witnessed direct exchanges between Israel and Iran.


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