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Lock In or Wait? Why Two Big Banks Say Rates Are Going Up in October

  Published September 2, 2026 The Bank of Canada did exactly what all 35 economists in Reuters' latest poll expected today: it held its overnight rate at 2.25% for a sixth straight decision, keeping the prime rate at 4.45%. Bond markets had priced in barely a 3% chance of anything else. What's not settled is what happens next — and on that question, Canada's biggest banks are more split than they've been all year. Four of the Big Six expect the Bank to sit tight through the end of 2026. Two expect it to start hiking as soon as October. If you're renewing a mortgage in the next few months, that gap isn't academic — it's the difference between locking in now and gambling on a rate cycle turning against you. The Split, Bank by Bank Here's where the six largest banks stand on where the overnight rate lands by the end of 2026: Bank Year-end 2026 call Stance BMO 2.25% (hold) Hold camp CIBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp RBC 2.25% (hold) Hold camp TD 2.25% (hold) Hold...
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Missile Barrage Strikes Northern Israel: Emergency Services Respond to Escalating Tensions

 

Israeli emergency services reported dealing with a string of fires in northern Israel on Friday after dozens of missiles were fired from southern Lebanon into the area around the border town of Kiryat Shemona. The military confirmed that warning sirens had sounded in northern Israel, and emergency services teams were dispatched to search the affected area. Fortunately, there were no casualties reported, but property damage occurred.

Television footage showed damaged buildings, cars, and brush fires caused by strikes or falling debris amid heatwave conditions. The Israeli military has been engaged in regular exchanges of fire with Hezbollah forces across the border in southern Lebanon since the start of the war in Gaza last October. While neither side appears to desire a wider conflict, the escalating strikes raise concerns about the situation spiraling out of control.

The latest salvo followed an Israeli strike that killed a senior commander from the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militia in southern Lebanon earlier this week. Tens of thousands of residents have been evacuated from their homes on both sides of the border, putting pressure on diplomatic efforts to resolve the stand-off.

On Friday, the Israeli Air Force intercepted 11 out of 16 drones launched by Hezbollah against Israel in the past 72 hours. The situation remains tense, with the risk of further escalation in a region that has already witnessed direct exchanges between Israel and Iran.


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