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The Rate Cuts Are Over — Is a Hike Coming?

  July 23, 2026 Oil shocks, sticky inflation and a technical recession are pulling the Bank of Canada in opposite directions at once. For most of the past two years, the only question about the Bank of Canada was how far and how fast it would cut. The overnight rate fell from 5.00% to 2.25% between June 2024 and October 2025, one of the sharpest easing cycles in the Bank's history, and it has held there through six consecutive decisions since. That story is now over. The question on the table for the rest of 2026 isn't whether the Bank cuts again — it's whether the next move is actually a hike. Two conflicting signals, one Bank The case for staying put — or even cutting — comes from the growth side of the ledger. Statistics Canada data showed the economy contracted in both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026, meeting the informal definition of a technical recession. That was enough to have some economists warning the Bank had no room to raise rates at a...
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Missile Barrage Strikes Northern Israel: Emergency Services Respond to Escalating Tensions

 

Israeli emergency services reported dealing with a string of fires in northern Israel on Friday after dozens of missiles were fired from southern Lebanon into the area around the border town of Kiryat Shemona. The military confirmed that warning sirens had sounded in northern Israel, and emergency services teams were dispatched to search the affected area. Fortunately, there were no casualties reported, but property damage occurred.

Television footage showed damaged buildings, cars, and brush fires caused by strikes or falling debris amid heatwave conditions. The Israeli military has been engaged in regular exchanges of fire with Hezbollah forces across the border in southern Lebanon since the start of the war in Gaza last October. While neither side appears to desire a wider conflict, the escalating strikes raise concerns about the situation spiraling out of control.

The latest salvo followed an Israeli strike that killed a senior commander from the Iranian-backed Hezbollah militia in southern Lebanon earlier this week. Tens of thousands of residents have been evacuated from their homes on both sides of the border, putting pressure on diplomatic efforts to resolve the stand-off.

On Friday, the Israeli Air Force intercepted 11 out of 16 drones launched by Hezbollah against Israel in the past 72 hours. The situation remains tense, with the risk of further escalation in a region that has already witnessed direct exchanges between Israel and Iran.


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